How To Get The Highest Price For Your Home

When the time comes for you to sell your home, would you like to sell your home for the highest price?  I can’t imagine any homeowner not answering “yes” to that question.  So, now that we know what all seller’s want; all we need to do now is determine the best way to go about reaching that goal.

Asking a higher price often doesn’t bring you the highest price..

Simple logic may tell us that, if we want to sell a home for the highest price possible, to make sure we ask a high price for it.  However, as the data below will illustrate, this that normally the case.  In fact, if a home is listed for a higher price than the optimum listing price it may very well result in it eventually selling for less than it would have if priced at a lower, more accurate, price to being with.

Sell Your Home For The Highest Price In The Least Amount of Time!  See how- STLSellersAdvantage.com 
Save Commission On Your Home Sale Without Sacrificing Service! See how- FairCommissionRates.com

Asking the “right” price may not work well either if the marketing or timing is wrong either…

Continue reading “How To Get The Highest Price For Your Home

St Louis Year To Date Home Sales Off To Slowest Start In 4 Years

Home sales in St Louis through the end of April this year, are lower than they have been at the same time of year since 2015.  As our exclusive year-to-date sales chart for the St Louis 5-County Core Market below shows, there have been 7,101 homes sold YTD this year (through 4/30) which is down 5.7% from the same time last year when there were 7,529 homes sold. The last time year-to-date home sales were lower at this time of year than now was back in 2015 when there were just 6,727 homes sold.

St Louis Real Estate Market Update VIDEO – May 2019 – Still A Sellers Market!

The number of home sales in St Louis may be down from the recent past but it’s still a Seller’s market!   The lack of home sales in St Louis is certainly not a result of a lack of interest, on the part of home buyers, but more a lack of sellers.  This is clear in the data I presented in this months market update video. Find out more, as well as get information on some of St Louis’s best resources for home buyers and sellers in our just-released market update video.In our MORE, REALTORS, 5 Minute St Louis Real Estate Market Update video below, you can quickly and easily get the latest information on home prices, home sales, trends and more for the entire St Louis area!  
Thinking of selling and want to know if your neighborhood is a seller's market? Contact us and we'll  answer that question for you.
You can now subscribe to our ITUNES Podcast Channel to receive our updated market videos via podcast automatically each week! Just click here, then click on "Subscribe Free".) St Louis Real Estate Market Update Video - St Louis Home Prices

Sell Your Home For The Highest Price In The Least Amount of Time!  See how- STLSellersAdvantage.com 
Save Commission On Your Home Sale Without Sacrificing Service! See how- FairCommissionRates.com

St Louis Home Sale Trend Continues To Slow….Rising Price Trend Remains

Year to date, through the end of March, there have been 4,829 homes sold in the St Louis 5-County Core market, a decline of 6.3% from this time last year when 5,156 homes had sold.  As the second chart below illustrates, the St Louis home sales trend (trailing 12 months and represented by the dark green line) peaked in October 2018 with 26,032 homes sold in the prior 12 months but then stalled and has begun a slight downward trend since with 25,583 homes sold in the 12 month period ending in March 2019.

Meanwhile, St Louis home prices continue to rise with the median price of homes sold in the past 12 months in the 5-County Core market increasing 4.79% from the prior 12-month period.  As the table below the charts shows, the median price of homes sold in the St Louis 5-County Core market during the most recent 12-month period was $198,950, an increase of 5.26% from the prior 12-month period when the median home price was $189,000.

The inventory of homes for sale has declined from last month, with just s 2.33 month supply of homes for sale in the St Louis 5-County Core Market.

St Louis Real Estate Market Update VIDEO – April 2019 – Sales Pace Off From Last Year

Home sales in St Louis are on a slower pace than this time last year. The St Louis real estate market is still performing well, but just not at the same sales rate as last year thus far. Find out more, as well as get information on some of St Louis’s best resources for home buyers and sellers in our just-released market update video.In our MORE, REALTORS, 5 Minute St Louis Real Estate Market Update video below, you can quickly and easily get the latest information on home prices, home sales, trends and more for the entire St Louis area!  
Thinking of selling and want to know if your neighborhood is a seller's market? Contact us and we'll  answer that question for you.
You can now subscribe to our ITUNES Podcast Channel to receive our updated market videos via podcast automatically each week! Just click here, then click on "Subscribe Free".) St Louis Real Estate Market Update Video - St Louis Home Prices

Sell Your Home For The Highest Price In The Least Amount of Time!  See how- STLSellersAdvantage.com 
Save Commission On Your Home Sale Without Sacrificing Service! See how- FairCommissionRates.com

St Louis Area Home Affordability Best In St Louis City

During the first quarter of this year, homebuyers in the City of St Louis needed to spend a median of just 16.9% of their annual wages to buy a median-priced home, according to data just released by ATTOM Data Services.  This makes the City of St Louis the most affordable county to buy a home in the St Louis area.  As the table below shows, St Charles County, where it takes 37.7% of annual wages to buy a median-priced home is the least affordable county for 1st quarter 2019.

On a positive note, St Charles County had an affordability index of 101 for the quarter, meaning that homes were slightly more affordable there than the historic average.  St Clair County had the best affordability index at 103 and the City of St Louis had the worst at 93.

St Louis Area Home Affordability – 1st Quarter 2019

St Louis Area Home Affordability - 1st Quarter 2019

St Louis Home Sale Trend Slowing Slightly

Year to date, there have been 2,903 homes sold in the St Louis 5-County Core market, a decline of 3.6% from this time last year when 3,010 homes had sold.  As the second chart below illustrates, the St Louis home sales trend (trailing 12 months and represented by the dark green line) peaked in October 2018 with 26,032 homes sold in the prior 12 months but then stalled and has begun a slight downward trend since with 25,756 homes sold in the 12 month period ending in February 2019.

Meanwhile, St Louis home prices continue to rise with the median price of homes sold in the past 12 months in the 5-County Core market increasing 4.79% from the prior 12-month period.  As the table below the charts shows, the median price of homes sold in the St Louis 5-County Core market during the most recent 12-month period was $197,000, up from $188,000 during the prior 12-month period.

The inventory of homes for sale remains low, with just s 2.5 month supply of homes for sale in the St Louis 5-County Core Market.

St Louis Real Estate Market Update VIDEO – March 2019 – Sales off pace from last year

The St Louis real estate market is still doing well however, home sales are off to a slower start this year than last year. Find out more, as well as get information on some of St Louis’s best resources for home buyers and sellers in our just-released market update video. In our MORE, REALTORS, 5 Minute St Louis Real Estate Market Update video below, you can quickly and easily get the latest information on home prices, home sales, trends and more for the entire St Louis area!  
Thinking of selling and want to know if your neighborhood is a seller's market? Contact us and we'll  answer that question for you.
You can now subscribe to our ITUNES Podcast Channel to receive our updated market videos via podcast automatically each week! Just click here, then click on "Subscribe Free".) St Louis Real Estate Market Update Video - St Louis Home Prices

Sell Your Home For The Highest Price In The Least Amount of Time!  See how- STLSellersAdvantage.com 
Save Commission On Your Home Sale Without Sacrificing Service! See how- FairCommissionRates.com

St Charles County vs St Louis County Home Price Appreciation

Since the announcement of the Better Together plans to merge the County and City of St Louis together into one big “Metro City”, there has been a lot of talk about the impact this would have on the St Louis real estate market. I’ve had several conversations with people in the real estate industry that feel St Charles County, as well as some of the other surrounding counties, will benefit if the Better Together plan succeeds.  Their optimism is based upon the belief that, given what appears to be a tremendous groundswell of opposition to the plan from residents of both St Louis City and St Louis County, that, if it passes, many will flee the new Metro City.

Obviously, only time will tell as to whether the Better Together Plan will even get the required number of signatures on the petition, if so, then whether the voters pass it.  It is only then, in the subsequent months and years afterward that we will really be able to see just what impact, favorably or negatively, it has on the St Louis real estate market.  For now, however, it seemed a good time to take a look at the St Charles County and St Louis County real estate markets and compare them.

St Louis Home Sales Down Slightly, Prices Up, In Past 12 Months

For the 12-month period ended February 28, 2019, there were 37,427 homes sold in the St Louis metro area, a decline of 1.22% from the prior 12-month period when there were 37,889 homes sold, according to our STL Market Report below. During the same period, the median price of homes sold in the St Louis metro area increased by 4.11% from $172,900 to $180,000.  As the table shows, there is currently a 3.19 month supply of homes for sale in the St Louis metro area.

 

STL Market Report – St Louis MSA

STL Market Report - St Louis MSA

The Better Together Plan And St Louis Real Estate

At the end of last month, Better Together, a not-for-profit group aimed at combining St Louis City and St Louis County into one big “Metro City”, released their plan for doing so. To say this is a hot topic among residents of those two areas would be an understatement.

Proponents of the plan say it will make St Louis the 9th largest city in the U.S., will streamline government, dilute the city crime stats making them appear to be better and, in the end, lead to increased economic development and growth for the region.

Opponents, such as the Municipal League of Metro St Louis argue that their (Better Together) plan is unconstitutional (hence why the Missouri Constitution must be changed to permit it) and that “the great divorce”, the label applied to when the city of St Louis separated from St Louis County back in 1876 was done using the Board of Freeholders, so if the two want to get back together, the same approach should be done to accomplish it (Board of Freeholders).   Additionally, the opponents argue that allowing the entire state to decide the fate of the people of these two counties is wrong, that historic cities (such as Florissant and Kirkwood) will be disbanded and, in the end, the underlying problems that hinder growth here won’t’ really be addressed.

The proceeding is, of course, my very brief synopsis of the two views as I see them so I would suggest you research the matter for yourself and have included some resources below to do just that.

What the Better Together Plan means for St Louis home prices.

Continue reading “The Better Together Plan And St Louis Real Estate

St Louis Real Estate Market Update VIDEO – February 2019 – Have Home Prices Risen Too Much?

The St Louis real estate market is off to a little slower start this year and there are some indicators that we may be in for a little price correction in some areas. Find out more, as well as get information on some of St Louis’s best resources for home buyers and sellers in our just-released market update video. In our MORE, REALTORS, 5 Minute St Louis Real Estate Market Update video below, you can quickly and easily get the latest information on home prices, home sales, trends and more for the entire St Louis area!  
Thinking of selling and want to know if your neighborhood is a seller's market? Contact us and we'll  answer that question for you.
You can now subscribe to our ITUNES Podcast Channel to receive our updated market videos via podcast automatically each week! Just click here, then click on "Subscribe Free".) St Louis Real Estate Market Update Video - St Louis Home Prices

Sell Your Home For The Highest Price In The Least Amount of Time!  See how- STLSellersAdvantage.com 
Save Commission On Your Home Sale Without Sacrificing Service! See how- FairCommissionRates.com

St Louis Home Sales Off To Slower Start In 2019 While Prices Rise

Many of the forecasts for home sales this year call for either a slight decline from last year or about the same as last year, in terms of home sales.  I think the St Louis market will probably see about the same number of homes sold in 2019 as we did in 2018, it may just come with a little bit of a price adjustment. So, while I don’t like looking at home sales “year over year” for one month, I’m going to make the exception today and include that.  As the first chart below shows, in January there were 1,282 homes sold in the St Louis 5-County core market (non-distressed home sales) which is down 5% from January 2018 when there were 1,352 homes sold but is up nearly 2% from January 2017 when there were 1,259 homes sold.

St Louis Cities Where Homes Sold For The Highest Price In Past Year

The list of the 10 St Louis cities where homes sold for the highest average price last year shown below reveals that the little city of Huntleigh, consisting of a land mass of just 1 square mile but home to some of the wealthiest people in St Louis, is where homes sold for the highest average price during 2018.  Granted, there were only two homes sold in Huntleigh during the past year (which were in the MLS) but with prices of $2.785 Million and $9.8 Million (for an average of $6,292,500) it catapulted Huntleigh to the top of the list of the most expensive average home sales price for St Louis.  Coming in a distant second to Huntleigh is Ladue where the average sales price was $1.104 Million.

See the most expensive homes sold in St Louis in the past year here.

St Louis Real Estate Market Update VIDEO – January 2019 – Last year was a good one

The St Louis real estate market closed out another good year with 2018 finishing just slightly behind the year before in terms of home sales. Thus far, it looks like 2019 is off to a good start as well although higher interest rates will, no doubt, cause a little tension in the market this year.

Find out more, as well as get information on some of St Louis’s best resources for home buyers and sellers in our just-released market update video.

In our MORE, REALTORS, 5 Minute St Louis Real Estate Market Update video below, you can quickly and easily get the latest information on home prices, home sales, trends and more for the entire St Louis area!  


Thinking of selling and want to know if your neighborhood is a seller's market? Contact us and we'll  answer that question for you.
You can now subscribe to our ITUNES Podcast Channel to receive our updated market videos via podcast automatically each week! Just click here, then click on "Subscribe Free".) St Louis Real Estate Market Update Video - St Louis Home Prices

Sell Your Home For The Highest Price In The Least Amount of Time!  See how- STLSellersAdvantage.com 
Save Commission On Your Home Sale Without Sacrificing Service! See how- FairCommissionRates.com

Cheaper To Buy Than Rent A Home In Six Out Of Eight St Louis Areas Counties

According to a report just released this morning by ATTOM Data Research, it’s cheaper to buy a home than rent in 6 of 8 St Louis metro area counties covered in the report.  The data reported also shows, however, that home prices are rising faster than rents in all of the counties, a trend that, if it continues, could make buying a home a less affordable option in the future.  The data also shows, on a postiive note, that in 6 of 8 counties wages are rising faster than rents.  The counties are split when it comes to wages vs home prices however, with wages rising faster than home prices in 4 and home prices rising faster than wages in the other 4.

Affordabilty is determined by the percentage of wages necessary to purchase a home in a given County.  Based upon this criteria, the most affordable county to buy a home is the City of St Louis at 20.1%, followed by Madison County, IL at 27.3% and then St Louis County at 27.6%.  The least affordable county to buy a home on the list is St Charles County at 45.3%

St Louis Home Affordability – 2018

St Louis Home Affordability - 2018

After Christmas Sale On Real Estate! Lowest Prices Of The Year!

Early Christmas evening, the commercials began for “after Christmas” sales by anxious retailers that couldn’t even wait until after Christmas to tell everyone what great bargains can be had.  Well, the same holds true for residential real estate in terms of bargain prices at this time of year.  It’s no secret that the number of homes sold, as well as prices, decline during this time of year, but I don’t know that would-be home buyers realize just how much they can save if they buy a home during this slow season.

As the STL Market Chart (exclusively from MORE, REALTORS) below shows, the median price of homes sold (the red line) dropped to the lowest level of the season in January earlier this year and in February the year before.  The number of homes sold (the pink line) always hit its lowest level around the same time.  Historically, this happens every year around the same time when the market is good as well as when it is not.  As the chart shows, the home prices in November remained the same as October, but the number of home sales dropped significantly and prices will follow no doubt.  Worth noting is that in January of this year, home prices hit their seasonal low at $168,444 but then by April, just 3 months later had increased 12.5% to $189,500 and finally peaked in June at $204,900, a 21.6% increase from January’s low.

St Louis Home Sales Remain Steady But Trending Downward

In the last week, I’ve seen several reports indicating declining home sales on both a nationwide basis as well as for the St Louis market.  The reports vary widely but one local report indicated single family home sales were down 6 percent from a year ago, which, of course, should cause some concern for both agents as well as consumers since a 6 percent decline is significant.  However, this is why, for this very reason, MORE, REALTORS® developed their own proprietary software to analyze and report the market data (the same MLS data as the aforementioned report was based upon) and present it in a manner that more accurately depicts the market conditions and is more applicable than many of the other reports out there.

Before I go further, I’m not picking on anyone reporting market information, as most are simply reporting the data that is available to them and doing so in a common manner which is to look at data for one specific month (in this case November) and compare it to the same month a year ago.  I’m just suggesting that due to fluctuations that can be caused by, for example, weather during the month, the number of Friday’s during the month (a popular day for closings), etc. looking at a single month doesn’t paint a true picture of the market.  It also matters what area the data is for, is it the St Louis MSA (which includes 8 counties in Illninois) or the city of St Louis, or some other combination?

As you will see from our STL Market Report™ tables I’ve prepared below, the St Louis real estate market is actually holding fairly steady in terms of sales when we look at the past 12-month period and compare it with the prior 12-month period.  In terms of home prices, St Louis home prices have increased about 4% – 5% in the St Louis area, depending on how we look at the area.

Forecast Says Eighty Two Percent Of St Louis Listings Will Sell Below List Price

A report released by Knock, a company that buys homes, forecasts that, nationally, 77% of current listings will sell below the original list price during the first quarter of 2019 and in St Louis, 82.61% of the listings will sell below list price. The report goes on to forecast that, on average, during the first quarter of 2019 homes in St Louis will sell for 5.2% less than the original list price and will take an average of 22 days to sell.

70% of St Louis Listings Sold For Less Than Original Price During Past 3 Months…

As our exclusive STL Market Chart tables below show, during the past 3 month period, 5,055 of the 7,240 (69.8%) homes that sold in the St Louis 5-County core market, sold for less than the original asking price.  Therefore, Knock’s prediction that this percentage hits 82.61% during the coming 3 months is not a stretch.  Nearly half (46%) of the 8,883 active listings on the market have already had at least one price reduction.

St Louis Real Estate Market Update VIDEO – December 2018 – Months Supply On the Rise

The St Louis real estate market is lagging a little behind last year in terms of home sales and the inventory of homes for sale is on the rise.  While some of this is, of course, seasonal, perhaps some of it could be related to home prices increasing over the past year or so at a higher rate than the historical “norm” as well as may be reflective of the higher interest rates we are experiencing now versus last year.

While it’s still a seller’s market in some areas of St Louis and in some price ranges, our market indicators have more markets shifting to a buyers market or, at a minimum, a changing market.  Seller’s won’t like to see this but it could be some welcome relief for home buyers that may be growing weary from bidding wars, getting beat out on the home they want and the like.

Find out more, as well as get information on some of St Louis’s best resources for home buyers and sellers in our just-released market update video.

In our MORE, REALTORS, 5 Minute St Louis Real Estate Market Update video below, you can quickly and easily get the latest information on home prices, home sales, trends and more for the entire St Louis area!  


Thinking of selling and want to know if your neighborhood is a seller's market? Contact us and we'll  answer that question for you.
You can now subscribe to our ITUNES Podcast Channel to receive our updated market videos via podcast automatically each week! Just click here, then click on "Subscribe Free".) St Louis Real Estate Market Update Video - St Louis Home Prices

Sell Your Home For The Highest Price In The Least Amount of Time!  See how- STLSellersAdvantage.com 
Save Commission On Your Home Sale Without Sacrificing Service! See how- FairCommissionRates.com

Median Price of Homes Sold in St Louis City/County In Past 12 Months Hits $185,000 – Sales Flat

The median price of homes sold in St Louis City and County combined during the 12 month period ended October 31, 2018 was $185,000 according to the STL Market Report™ from MORE™, REALTORS®.  As the STL Market Report™ below shows, this is an increase in the median price of condos sold of 5.11% from the prior 12-month period. During the most recent 12-month period, there were 16,841 homes sold in St Louis City and County combined, just 6 sales more than the prior 12-month period.  There is currently a 2.67 month supply of condos for sale in St Louis City and County combined and listings have been on the market a median time of 64 days.

STL Market Report – Homes – St Louis City and County Combined

(click on table to go to live report)

STL Market Report - St Louis City/County Combined

 

Number of Underwater St Louis Homeowners Falls To Lowest Level Since Last Year

During the 3rd quarter of this year, 14.4% of the homeowners in St Louis with a mortgage were “seriously underwater”, meaning they owe at least 25 percent more than the estimated value of their home, according to a report just released by ATTOM Data Solutions. This is the lowest rate this year, down from 15.6% in the 2nd quarter and down from 14.7% in the first quarter of 2018.  For the last quarter of 2017, St Louis homeowners that were seriously underwater had fallen to 13.8%.

Kansas City and Chicago have fared better over the past 5 years…

As the table below illustrates, our neighbors to the west and northeast, Kansas City, MO and Chicago, IL, have both seen a greater margin of improvement in their underwater homeowners over the past 5 years.  Kansas City went from 23.1% of their homeowners with a mortgage being seriously underwater in the 3rd quarter of 2013 to 9.8% during the 3rd quarter of this year, a reduction of 58% in the rate of underwater homeowners.  Chicago, during the same period, went from 35.8% to 13.2%, a reduction of 68%. Meanwhile, here in St Louis, the rate went from 25.4% to 14.4%, a reduction of 40%.

St Louis Seriously Underwater Homeowners – 3rd Quarter 2018

St Louis Seriously Underwater Homeowners - 3rd Quarter 2018

 

 

St Louis Real Estate Market Holding Steady

In contrast to reports from around the country of a cooling housing market and even a possible bubble in some markets, the St Louis real estate market continues to hold steady. As our exclusive, STL Market Report for the St Louis 5-County core market below shows, during the past 12-months homes have sold at about the same pace as the prior 12-month period, prices are up a little over 5 percent and the supply, while up, is still at a rather low 3 months.

St Louis 5-County core market home sales and prices

(click on table for live current report)
St Louis 5-County core market home sales and prices

 

St Louis Real Estate Market Update VIDEO – October 2018 – Home sales down but higher than 10 years prior to 2017

St Louis home sales continue to lag a little behind last year, however, through the end of September, year-to-date St Louis home sales are higher than they were for the ten years prior to last year! In fact, the YTD total home sales of 21,043 for the St Louis 5-County core market, falls just 130 home sales short of the 21,173 homes sold at this time back in the banner year of 2006. For the St Louis area, YTD home sales through September for this year are just 5.8% below the all-time high in 2005 when there were 22,344 homes sold YTD at this time of the year.

It’s still a seller’s market in most areas of St Louis and in many price ranges!
Find out more, as well as get information on some of St Louis’s best resources for home buyers and sellers in our just-released market In our MORE, REALTORS, 5 Minute St Louis Real Estate Market Update video below, you can quickly and easily get the latest information on home prices, home sales, trends and more for the entire St Louis area!   update video.


Thinking of selling and want to know if your neighborhood is a seller's market? Contact us and we'll  answer that question for you.
You can now subscribe to our ITUNES Podcast Channel to receive our updated market videos via podcast automatically each week! Just click here, then click on "Subscribe Free".) St Louis Real Estate Market Update Video - St Louis Home Prices

Sell Your Home For The Highest Price In The Least Amount of Time!  See how- STLSellersAdvantage.com 
Save Commission On Your Home Sale Without Sacrificing Service! See how- FairCommissionRates.com

Home Affordability In St Louis Drops For All Counties In Third Quarter

One of the nice things about St Louis has always been that it’s an affordable place to live and an affordable place to own a home.  However, as St Louis home prices, and mortgage interest rates, continue to increase, home affordability in St Louis has declined.

As the table below, which is based on data from ATTOM Data Research, shows, all of the counties reported on in the State of Missouri saw home affordability decline during the 3rd quarter with the exception of Jackson County (Kansas City).  All of the counties had a decline in home affordability from a year ago with St Louis County seeing the biggest decline at 11%.

St Louis Home Affordability – 3rd Quarter 2018

St Louis Home Affordability - 3rd Quarter 2018

St Charles Homeowners spend the largest percentage of income on a home…

In St Charles County, home buyers spend, on average, 41.3% of their income to buy a home, the highest percentage of the reported counties in Missouri.  In the city of St Louis, the percentage of income spent on housing was just 21.9%.

Percentage of Annualized Wages Necessary to Buy A Home

Percentage of Annualized Wages Necessary to Buy A Home

 

Sellers Have Reduced Prices on Nearly Half The Homes Currently For Sale

It may still be a seller’s market in many areas of St Louis, but, as our table below shows, nearly half (48%) of the active listings in the St Louis market have had at least one price reduction since coming on the market.

St Louis 5-County Core Market – Active Listing Data

(Click on table for current, live data)
St Louis 5-County Core Market - Active Listing Data

The Most Expensive Homes For Sale In St Louis

One of the great things about living in St Louis is it is a very affordable place to live, including when it comes to home ownership.  Home affordability in St Louis is certainly much better than the coasts but also beats many, if not most, metro areas.  Having said that, we do have our share of expensive homes though.  For example, there are currently 322 $1,000,000+ homes and condos listed for sale in the St Louis 5-county core market (City of St Louis and Counties of St Louis, St Charles, Jefferson and Franklin).   The most expensive St Louis home listed for sale, at the time I wrote this article, is a home in Huntleigh listed for $7,695,000.

42 Huntleigh Woods, Huntleigh, MO 63131

(Click on the image above to see complete details)

See the complete list by clicking here.

Of the 322 $1 million+ homes listed, nearly 82% of them are in St Louis County.  Below is a breakdown of the listings by county:

  • St Louis County  – 263
  • St Charles County – 25
  • City of St Louis – 10
  • Jefferson County – 9
  • Franklin County – 15

See the list of the 30 cities in the St Louis 5-County Core market with the highest average home prices here.

 

Are Homes Prices In St Louis Cooling?

Yesterday, the latest S&P Corelogic Case-Shiller (the biggest name in national home price data) home price indices were released for July 2018 (their reports lag behind somewhat).  Even though in their press release, S&P stated “Data released today for July 2018 shows that home prices continued their rise across the country over the last 12 months” however, the release went on to say point out, with regard to July’s increase in home prices, that is was “down from 6.2% in the previous month”.  This prompted many news outlets to publish articles with headlines about home prices cooling, the market cooling, etc.  One of those outlets, and a pretty well-known one in the real estate industry among real estate agents, is RIS media who published an article that began with “The foot on the gas is letting up.  The explosive growth in home prices is slowing.”

There is no question that home prices cool, and heat up, regularly and, due to the seasonality of the real estate market, are even somewhat predictable in this fashion.  Therefore, should the recent headlines about home prices slowing be of concern to home buyers and sellers in St Louis?  This is a question I’ve been hearing a lot lately and will give my thoughts on here.

Home prices fluctuate EVERY month…

As our 5-year chart below clearly illustrates, St Louis home prices fluctuate every single month of the year, year in and year out.  In fact, if you move your mouse around our live chart (click on chart for live one) you can see the data for each month and I don’t think you will find two months in a row that were the same.  The other thing our charts make it easy to see is the seasonality of home prices.  If you look at the purple line, which represents St Louis home prices over a 5-year period, you will see the same pattern is repeated year after year.  St Louis home prices increase every year going into spring, typically hitting the peak with sales that close in June, or sometimes July.  Then, after peaking, home prices in St Louis start the slow descent downward until hitting the lowest point in January or February, then start the cycle all over again.  In normal times, such as the 5 years depicted on the chart below, each spring peaks higher than the spring before and each winter low is higher than the prior winters low.

St Louis 5-County Core Market – Price Per Foot and Time to Sell – Past 5 Years

(Click the chart for live, inter-active chart)
St Louis 5-County Core Market - Price Per Foot and Time to Sell - Past 5 Years

Are St Louis home prices cooling off though?

Now that we’ve reviewed how St Louis home prices fluctuate, lets address whether they are cooling off though.  In other words, are St Louis home prices trending downward, indicating they will be rising at lesser rates in the coming months?  This is where our proprietary St Louis housing market data software and custom charts come in handy again and make it easy to answer this question.  The chart below shows the median price per foot for homes sold in the prior 12 months for each month of the past five years.  This is a great chart to use to recognize a trend.

In reviewing the data in the chart below, I first looked at the difference between home prices at the peak versus the trough for each year and found the following:

  • 2018 – 15.2%
  • 2017 – 12.2%
  • 2016 – 13.8%
  • 2015 – 16.0%
  • 2014 – 19.3%

Next, I looked at the increase in the peak price each year from the prior year and found:

  • 2018 from 2017 – 3.8%
  • 2017 from 2016 – 4.0%
  • 2016 from 2015 – 6.9%
  • 2015 from 2014 – 4.5%

From the above, it appears to me the seasonal price swing this year has been fairly consistent with prior years and, while maybe slowing just a little, peak home prices have increased year to year at a fairly consistent rate.  The jump from 2015 to 2016, at 6.9% was higher than normal, but the other years are at rates that are close to historical norms.  In summary, while the price appreciation may have slowed slightly, which, quite frankly, is probably god so that a reasonable appreciation rate can be maintained, I don’t see any cause for alarm nor any imminent major shift in St Louis home prices at this point.

St Louis 5-County Core Market – Price Per Foot Trend – Past 5 Years

(Click the chart for live, inter-active chart)

St Louis 5-County Core Market - Price Per Foot Trend - Past 5 Years

 

 

St Louis Home Sales Trend Remains Flat While Prices Rise

St Louis home sales remain consistent but fairly flat with 27,636 homes sold during the past 12 months, just slightly more than the 27,525 homes sold in the prior 12 month period, for the 5-County core St Louis market.  As the table below shows, while home sales only increased by 0.40% during the period for the core St Louis market (city of St Louis and counties of St Louis, St Charles, Jefferson, and Franklin) the median price of homes sold during the period increased 5.46% from a median price of $184,900 to $195,00.  There is a currently a 2.55 month supply of homes for sale and the median time a home has been for sale in this area is 68 days.

St Louis 5- County Core Market – Home Sales and Prices

(click on table for live report)

St Louis 5- County Core Market - Home Sales and Prices

St Louis City and County market about the same…

As the table below shows, the housing market in the city and county of St Louis is performing pretty much the same as for the larger 5-county area.  There were 16,828 homes sold in the past 12-months in this area, which is just 16 home sales more than the prior 12-month period when there were 16,812 homes sold.  The median price of homes sold in the most recent 12 month period was $185,000, a 5.71% increase from the prior 12-month period when the median home price was $175,000.  There is a 2.46 month supply of homes for sale and the median time a home has been on the market for sale is 63 days.

St Louis City and County – Home Sales and Prices

(click on table for live report)

St Louis City and County - Home Sales and Prices

  

 

St Louis Real Estate Market Update VIDEO – August 2018

While St Louis home sales are flat this year the overall market conditions remain good. The low inventory of homes for sale continues to benefit St Louis sellers! Find out more, as well as get information on some of St Louis’s best resources for home buyers and sellers in our just-released market In our MORE, REALTORS, 5 Minute St Louis Real Estate Market Update video below, you can quickly and easily get the latest information on home prices, home sales, trends and more for the entire St Louis area!   update video.

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You can now subscribe to our ITUNES Podcast Channel to receive our updated market videos via podcast automatically each week! Just click here, then click on "Subscribe Free".) St Louis Real Estate Market Update Video - St Louis Home Prices

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