Why I’m Bullish On Real Estate For 2020

As you may have noticed, I’ve been pretty optimistic about the outlook for the real estate market this year however, that is not always the case as I call it like I see it.  The reason for my optimism is based upon what a true data geek like myself would base it upon, data!  So, what’s the data that has me believing 2020 will be a good year for the housing market in St Louis and beyond?  Several things:

  • As I have been reporting here for the past couple of years now, mortgage delinquency and foreclosure rates have continued to decline which show the strength of the economy as a whole as well as the housing industry.
  • As the US Economic Indicators charts below show, since peaking around 2010, the unemployment rate, 30-year mortgage rate and mortgage delinquency rates have all steadily declines to either record lows or at least the lowest rate in recent history.
  • As the St Louis unemployment, home prices and rent chart below shows, unemployment in St Louis has fallen to the lowest level in decades and the relationship between home prices and rents show home prices lagging behind rents indicating that we’ll likely see continued, good housing appreciation rates.
  • As the 30-year fixed rate mortgage chart below shows, mortgage rates are at near record low rates giving buyers much more buying power.  In my market update video I shared here a day or two ago I illustrate just how much more buying power this translates into.
  • As I reported last week, St Louis home sales last year managed to top the prior year slightly, in spite of the low-inventory market we have been stuck in.  This shows the demand that is out there.
  • As I reported earlier this week, the home sales trend for 2020 in St Louis is in positive territory has well.

St Louis Mortgage Delinquency Rate Continues To Fall

On a national level, according to a report released by Corelogic, the foreclosure rate is at a 10-year low and, for the most part, mortgage delinquency rates continue to fall as real estate markets around the country continue to improve.

The state of Missouri, as well as it’s two big metro areas, St Louis and Kansas City, are following suit with improvements in mortgage delinquency and foreclosure rates.

State of Missouri- Mortgage Delinquency/Foreclosure Rates:

  • 30+ day mortgage delinquency rate improved from 5.3% of all mortgage loans a year ago to 4.5% for July 2017;
  • 90+ day mortgage delinquency rate improved from 2.0% a year ago to 1.5% in July 2017;
  • Foreclosure rate improved from 0.5% a year ago to just 0.3% in July 2017

St Louis Metro Area- Mortgage Delinquency/Foreclosure Rates:

  • 30+ day mortgage delinquency rate improved from 8.1% of all mortgage loans a year ago to 6.8% for July 2017;
  • 90+ day mortgage delinquency rate improved from 3.7% a year ago to 3.0% in July, 2017;
  • Foreclosure rate improved from 1.7% a year ago to just 1.2% in July 2017

Kansas City Metro Area- Mortgage Delinquency/Foreclosure Rates:

  • 30+ day mortgage delinquency rate improved from 5.0% of all mortgage loans a year ago to 4.1% for July 2017;
  • 90+ day mortgage delinquency rate improved from 1.9% a year ago to 1.4% in July, 2017;
  • Foreclosure rate improved from 0.5% a year ago to just 0.3% in July 2017

(We work hard on this and sure would appreciate a “Like”)

Search St Louis Homes For Sale HERE

See ALL Homes That Will Be Open In St Louis This Weekend

Search Foreclosures For Sale

St. Louis Foreclosure Rates Declines in March; 3rd consecutive monthly decline

Dennis Norman

The St. Louis foreclosure rate in March was 1.73 percent, down slightly from 1.78 percent the prior month, but up over 21 percent from a year ago,  according to a report published by CoreLogic. The report shows that the St. Louis Mortgage Delinquency rate (Serious delinquency, 90+ days delinquent) decreased to 4.83 percent in March, down from 5.1 percent the month before and down 14 percent from a year ago.  This is the first month the St Louis Mortgage Delinquency rate was below 5 percent since August 2009.