Dennis Norman - St Louis Real Estate News

Not Out Of The Woods Yet; Mortgage Delinquences and Foreclosures On The Rise

By Dennis Norman, on May 20th, 2010

1st Quarter Delinquencies; Up? Down? He said – She Said…

If you frequent this site, then you may recall that a little over a week ago (May 10th to be exact) I wrote a post that said the delinquency rate for homeowners mortgages had dropped in the first quarter of this year, the first drop since 2006. Now the post title says delinquencies have increased, so what gives?

Well, for one thing, different sources of information. The “good” delinquency report came from TransUnion and they get their data by doing a “random sampling” of their database of 27 million Continue Reading →

Property Owner Gets Jail Time over Yard Art

By Dennis Norman, on May 18th, 2010

First Amendment Versus Ballwin City Hall

Dennis Norman

“Congress shall make no law respecting an establishment of religion, or prohibiting the free exercise thereof; or abridging the freedom of speech, or of the press; or the right of the people peaceably to assemble, and to petition the Government for a redress of grievances.”

This morning I saw an article on STL Today about a retired art teacher that was sentenced to 20 days in jail after he refused to make changes to art he has displayed in his front yard that “court and city officials have deemed dangerous.”

Continue Reading →

Congress Considering New Tax Burdens on Real Estate

By Dennis Norman, on May 17th, 2010

Dennis Norman

As the real estate market and industry continues to struggle to try to pull out of the dumps, another blow could come soon from Congress in the form of new tax burdens on real estate.

Congress is proposing that all owners of rental properties be required to complete and file 1099 forms for all service providers that have performed work on their properties, such as electricians, handymen, landscapers, etc. If passed, this would require all landlords, even the smallest of which, to go through additional expense and burden (or face penalties themselves from the IRS) to Continue Reading →

Not All Home Improvements Lead to Higher Value

By Dennis Norman, on May 14th, 2010

Dennis Norman

Homeowners looking to upgrade or sell their home this spring should realize that not all remodeling and renovation projects will yield a full return on their investment, the president of the Appraisal Institute said today.

“When it comes to home improvement projects, especially in today’s economy, not every renovation or remodeling effort will pay off when the owner sells their home,” said Appraisal Institute President Leslie Sellers, MAI, SRA. “Consumers need to be aware that cost does not necessarily equal value.”

For consumers looking to upgrade and possibly sell their houses this spring, Sellers has put together Continue Reading →

Can You Obtain a Home Loan If you Did a Short Sale or Deed-in-Lieu?

By Dennis Norman, on May 13th, 2010

Dennis Norman

In an effort to “support overall market stability and reinforce the importance of borrowers working with their lenders when they have difficulty paying their mortgages”, Fannie Mae has eased their policies with regard to the eligibility of borrowers to obtain a new mortgage loan after having a short-sale or deed-in-lieu of foreclosure. The “waiting period” that someone must wait before getting a new mortgage after a short-sale or deed-in-lieu has been shortened in certain situations.

Changes to the Waiting Period After a Short-Sale or Deed-in-Lieu of Foreclosure:

Deed-In-Lieu of Foreclosure Current waiting period – 4 years Continue Reading →

First Quarter Home Sales Up From a Year Ago in many Metro Areas Including St. Louis

By Dennis Norman, on May 12th, 2010

Dennis Norman

According to a report issued by the National Association of REALTORS, a growing number of metropolitan areas are experiencing price gains from a year ago, while most states have seen healthy gains in home sales from the first quarter of 2009.

Here in St. Louis, the median home price for first quarter was $116,100, a 15.1 percent increase from a year ago when the median price was $100,900, however an 8.4 percent decrease from the 4th quarter of 2009 when the median home price for the St. Louis area was $126,800. State-wide, the median home price Continue Reading →

Slight Decline In Number of Underwater Homeowners

By Dennis Norman, on May 11th, 2010

Dennis Norman

According to a report released by CoreLogic, there were 11.2 million homeowners that were in a negative equity, or “underwater“, position on their mortgages as of the end of the first quarter of this year. This number is equal to 24 percent of all homeowners with a mortgage in the U.S., which is the same percentage as the prior quarter, however the actual number of underwater borrowers was down slightly from 11.3 million borrowers that were underwater in the prior quarter. In addition, there are an additional 2.3 million borrowers that have less than five percent Continue Reading →

No More Fixed-Rate Loans On New Homes If Missouri Lawmakers Don’t Act Quickly

By Dennis Norman, on May 11th, 2010

Dennis Norman

UPDATE – May 17, 2010 – THANKS TO MISSOURI LAWMAKERS (and the efforts of the Missouri Association of REALTORS and St. Louis Home Builders Association, readers of this post that responded, and others) THE MECHANICS LIEN LAW PASSED! ASSUMING THE GOVERNOR SIGNS IT INTO LAW FINANCING ON NEW HOMES AS WE KNOW IT HAS BEEN PRESERVED!

This week, which is the last week of the legislative session in Jefferson City, the Missouri Senate will probably take up debate on HB 2058, which is a bill that makes needed changes to the Mechanic’s Lien Statute in Missouri Continue Reading →

Mortgage Delinquencies Fall in 1st Quarter; First Decline Since 2006

By Dennis Norman, on May 10th, 2010

Dennis Norman

Consistent with the report on mortgage delinquencies from LPS that I wrote about last week, today TransUnion released it’s report on mortgage delinquencies showing they fell 1.74 percent in the first quarter of this year, which is the first quarterly decline since 2006. This is good news, however, not to rain on the parade, but we do need to remember that the 4th quarter of 2009 had a record-setting mortgage delinquency rate so to have the rate for the following quarter drop simply means, if you want to do the glass half-empty thing, this quarter didn’t Continue Reading →

St Louis Real Estate Market Report

By Dennis Norman, on May 7th, 2010

Dennis Norman

The St. Louis real estate market picked up a little steam in the first quarter of this year with an increase in the number of homes sold over the prior quarter, a reduction in the months-supply of homes for sale and a sharp increasing in pending sales. The homebuyer tax credit with it’s deadline to enter into contract to buy a home of April 30th helped fuel the increase in pending sales no doubt, but hopefully that wasn’t the only impetus.

Here’s a county by county look at the St. Louis real estate market for the first Continue Reading →

Fewer Homeowners Falling Delinquent; More Delinquent Borrowers Bringing Payments Current

By Dennis Norman, on May 6th, 2010

Dennis Norman

A report published by Lender Processing Services (LPS) analyzing homeowner’s performance on their mortgages as of March 2010 shows that, while foreclosure and mortgage delinquency rates are still near record levels, the pace may be slowing with fewer new loans becoming delinquent and an increase in the number of people bringing their loans current.

Fewer Borrowers Are Going From Current To Delinquent –

The dark blue line on the chart below represents the number of “new” delinquencies for each period, and as you can see, the number dropped sharply in March for people that moved Continue Reading →

St. Louis Foreclosures and Mortgage Delinquencies Hit Record Levels in March

By Dennis Norman, on May 6th, 2010

Dennis Norman

A report released by CoreLogic showed the St. Louis metro area to have a foreclosure rate in March of 1.49 percent up slightly from February’s rate of 1.44 percent and an increase of 39.3 percent from the year prior when the rate was 1.07 percent.

The national foreclosure rate for March remains over twice the rate of St. Louis at 3.23 percent and was an increase of 73.9 percent from a year ago when the national foreclosure rate was 2.32 percent.

No End In Site

Unfortunately, I don’t think we are going to see much, if Continue Reading →

Pending Home Sales Continue On The Rise In March

By Dennis Norman, on May 4th, 2010

Dennis Norman

Today the National Association of REALTORS released it’s Pending Home Sales Index for March showing an increase of 5.3 percent in the index from February (seasonally adjusted) and a whopping 21.1 percent increase from March 2009. This follows an 8.3 percent increase in February so it is definitely creating a nice trend that makes me somewhat optimistic. We should remember though, in March and April we are expecting to see home sales spike as buyers rush to buy before the April 30th deadline to have a home under contract to qualify for the homebuyer tax credit.

Continue Reading →

Missouri REALTORS Make Progress Fighting Double Taxation

By Dennis Norman, on May 3rd, 2010

Dennis Norman

Last October I wrote about an effort by the Missouri Association of REALTORS (MAR) to protect Missouri homeowners from facing double taxation through a real estate transfer tax by backing an effort to amend the Missouri Constitution to prohibit such a tax. To get the issue on November’s ballot, petitions with signatures from a requisite number of Missouri voters needed to be submitted to the Secretary of State by yesterday.

Today, the Vote YES to Stop Double Taxation Committee, announced that on Sunday it turned in petitions, signed by “tens of thousands of registered voters”, to the Continue Reading →

Home Prices and Interest Rates May Offset Loss of Tax Credits

By Dennis Norman, on May 3rd, 2010

61 Percent of Those Looking for or Considering Buying a Home Had No Plans to Use the Tax Credit

Dennis Norman

According to a survey from Better Homes and Gardens Real Estate, the majority of people looking for, or considering buying, a home had no plans to take advantage of the First-Time or Move-Up/Repeat Home Buyer Tax Credits.

The survey, which was conducted online during the last week of February 2010, was designed to identify factors affecting today’s home buying decisions. Respondents were people from across the country who were searching for a new home, saving up to Continue Reading →

St. Louis County Offering Property Owner Advocates to Help Appeal Property Assessment

By Dennis Norman, on April 30th, 2010

Dennis Norman

Although 2010 is a non-reassessment year, property owners in St. Louis County who disagree with the Assessor’s opinion of the value of their property, have the option to exercise their right to appeal that valuation to the St. Louis County Board of Equalization.

Missouri state law requires the Assessor to determine a property’s fair market value as of January 1 of the reassessment year, which is every odd numbered year, such as 2009 and 2011. Since values are established for a two-year time period, appellants need to be aware that the market conditions of January 1, 2009 Continue Reading →

Foreclosures Still On The Rise – Some Improvement in Hardest Hit Areas Though

By Dennis Norman, on April 29th, 2010

RealtyTrac® released its U.S. Foreclosure Market Report™ for the first quarter of 2010, which shows foreclosure filings — default notices, scheduled auctions and bank repossessions — were reported on 932,234 U.S. properties during the first quarter of 2010, an increase of 16 percent from the first quarter of 2009 (which, I should remind you, was up 24 percent from the first quarter of 2008).

According to the report, the 20 metro areas with the highest rates of foreclosures were still contained to four states:

California – 10 of the top 20 metro foreclosure rates Florida – 7 of the top Continue Reading →

Homeownership Rate in U.S. Hits 10 Year Low

By Dennis Norman, on April 29th, 2010

Dennis Norman

According to a report issued by the U.S. Census Bureau earlier this week, the percentage of Americans that own a home in the U.S. in the first quarter of 2010 dropped to 67.1 percent, the lowest rate of homeownership since the same quarter of 2000. The homeownership rate for 4th quarter 2009 was 67.2 percent, the low for 2009.

REGIONAL HOMEOWNERSHIP:

The Midwest Region has the highest rate of homeownership, as of the 1st quarter of 2010, at 70.9 percent with the South region not far behind at 69.2 percent. The Northeast homeownership rate was 64.4 Continue Reading →

Case-Shiller Report Has Some Good News On Housing Market; Not Out of The Woods Yet Though

By Dennis Norman, on April 27th, 2010

Dennis Norman

This morning the S&P/Case-Shiller Index report for February was released showing that, for the first time since December, 2006, the annual rates of change for their two composite home-price indices were positive. The 10-City Composite is up 1.4 percent from a year before and the 20-City Composite is up 0.6 percent from the same time last year. Unfortunately, 11 of the 20 cities included in the 20-City Composite had declines from the prior year, meaning that this positive bit of news is not “market-wide” but is the result of some metros with stronger markets.

Continue Reading →

Mortgage Fraud Continues to Climb – Midwest Leads the Way

By Dennis Norman, on April 27th, 2010

Incidents of Mortgage Fraud Increase 7 Percent from 2008 to 2009 – Florida, New York and California Top List of States with Highest Mortgage Fraud and Misrepresentation Rates

Dennis Norman

Reported incidents of mortgage fraud and misrepresentation by professionals in the mortgage industry in the U.S. are continuing to climb and increased by 7 percent from 2008 to 2009, according to a new report released today by the Mortgage Asset Research Institute, a LexisNexis® service. While the pace has slowed since the 2007-2008 increase of 26 percent, the continued increase is believed to be attributed to better Continue Reading →

St Louis Home Price Index Increased 1.5 Percent In February From Year Ago

By Dennis Norman, on April 26th, 2010

Dennis Norman

Report Cautions That Shadow Inventory and End of Tax Credit Program May Result in Further Declines – Predicts a 3.01 Percent Home Price Decline in St. Louis In Next 12 Months. A report released today by First American CoreLogic shows that national home prices increased 0.3 percent in February 2010 compared to February 2009 and the home price index for St. Louis increased 1.50 percent in February 2010 compared to February 2009

On a month-over-month basis, the national average home price index fell by 2.0 percent in February 2010 compared to January 2010, which was Continue Reading →

Record Foreclosure Rate Could Hurt Demand For Homes and Slow Recovery

By Dennis Norman, on April 26th, 2010

Dennis Norman

In a report just issued by Radarlogic there is some good news for the housing industry as in the report Michael Feder, President and CEO of Radar Logic, states “the evidence continues to support the view that housing has stabilized and is in the early stages of recovery.” However, the report also reminds us that RealtyTrac reported that foreclosure filings set a record in March, with filings reported on 367,056 properties, the “highest monthly total since RealtyTrac began issuing its report in January 2005. The report indicates an increasing concern about the threat that foreclosures pose Continue Reading →

Survey Shows More Than 80 Percent of First-Time Home Buyers Believe Now Is a Good Time to Buy a Home

By Dennis Norman, on April 24th, 2010

Dennis Norman

Century 21 Real Estate LLC announced the results of its First-Time Home Buyers and Sellers Survey, which captured and compared the opinions of prospective home buyers and sellers who either purchased or sold their first home within the past year or are planning to buy or sell their first home within the next year.

More than 80 percent of first-time home buyers and sellers feel the current housing market is more affordable today than this time last year, despite the fact that 40 percent of all respondents are more worried about the economy compared to this Continue Reading →

New Home Sales Spike in March – Market Showing Signs of Stabilizing

By Dennis Norman, on April 23rd, 2010

Dennis Norman

The U.S. Department of Commerce released a report showing the sale of New Homes in March were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 411,000, a 26.9 percent increase from the revised February rate of 324,000 and is 23.8 percent above a year ago. The inventory of new homes (seasonally adjusted) at the end of March is 6.7 months a huge decline from February’s 9.2 month supply.

My Mantra

As has been my long-running mantra, I don’t like “seasonally adjusted” numbers and “rate” of sales (nor does Standard & Poors, publisher of the Case/Shiller Index, now Continue Reading →

Existing Home Sales Jump in March – St. Louis Shows Strong

By Dennis Norman, on April 22nd, 2010

Dennis Norman

According to the latest report from the National Association of REALTORS(R), existing home sales in the US in March increased 6.8 percent to a seasonally adjusted-annual rate of 5.35 million units in March from a revised level of 5.01 million units in February, and increased 16.1 percent from a year ago when the rate was 4.61 million units (seasonally adjusted).

St. Louis Shows Strong Against Other Metros –

NAR publishes existing home sales for 20 major metropolitan areas of the U.S. which showed the St. Louis Real Estate Market in a pretty positive light. St. Louis Continue Reading →

I told you so!

By Dennis Norman, on April 20th, 2010

Dennis Norman

Bear with me, I’m really not an ego-maniac, it’s just so infrequently that anyone of any real authority, or with “PhD” behind their name, agrees with me, so when it does happen I have to sound the horns and bask in the glory while it lasts!

If you have read any of my articles on any blogs about home sales and new home starts you are well aware of my usual rant about, and distrust of, “seasonally-adjusted” numbers. Up until today I really just thought this was my simple-minded way of looking at things and, even Continue Reading →

Four Simple Ways To Be ‘Greener’ At Home

By Dennis Norman, on April 20th, 2010

Dennis Norman

There’s plenty of talk today about “going green”, being “environmentally friendly”and “sustainable living”. All around us we see people incorporating things into their lives consistent with the focus of these terms including: using recyclable bags, buying hybrid cars, using mass transportation, buying organic products, etc.

For those of us that threw out their Birkenstocks years ago (or don’t have a clue what they are), don’t shop at Whole Foods, drive a gas-guzzling SUV and, the big one, ask for our milk to be put in a bag at the grocery store, but still want to do a Continue Reading →

Housing Recovery Dependant on Inventory Reduction

By Dennis Norman, on April 19th, 2010

Dennis Norman

Housing is stabilizing but excess inventory and shadow supply are hindering recovery according to the April 2010 Economic Outlook released today by Fannie Mae’s Economics & Mortgage Market Analysis Group.

The report projects that new home sales (which are at record lows) will be slow to recover until inventory of existing homes and the foreclosure overhang are worked off. The comments about existing home sales were more optimistic saying key indicators for existing home sales, including pending home sales and purchase applications, are showing good signs of a pickup.

Jobs, a driving force for housing, are Continue Reading →

Congress Extends Flood Insurance Program Through May 31

By Dennis Norman, on April 17th, 2010

Dennis Norman

This past Thursday Congress passed H.R. 4851 and President Obama signed it into law the same day extending the National Flood Insurance Program, which had expired on March 28th, through May 31, 2010.

The National Association of REALTORS, which lobbied hard for this extension, now says they are working with Congress to get the National Flood Insurance Program reauthorized before it expires again on May 31st.

Building Permits Jump in March; New Home Construction Still Outpacing Sales

By Dennis Norman, on April 16th, 2010

The U.S. Census Bureau and US Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) issued a their report on New Residential Construction for March 2010 showing an increase in building permits and a decrease in new home starts from February.

The report shows the following:

Building permits issued for single-family residences in March were at an annual rate of 543,000 which is 5.6 percent above the revised February rate of 514,000 and an increase of 50.8 percent from a year ago when the rate was 360,000. Housing starts for single-family residences in March were at an annual rate of 531,000 Continue Reading →