Charlie Cook, of the Cook Report, a well-known and respected political commentator, cautioned REALTORS at their annual national convention to be prepared for changes to the mortgage interest deduction. According to an article in REALTOR magazine, Cook said he did not expect the mortgage interest deduction (MID) to specifically come under attack but that, as Congress looks at cuts to address the deficit, the MID “unlikely to escape unscathed. Cook went on to say that he felt the change would most likely be in the form of a cap, whether it be a dollar amount or a percent allowed for itemized deductions, but one way or another, it was going to change Continue Reading →
Lawrence Yun, chief economist of the National Association of Realtors (NAR), while speaking at the NAR convention in Orlando gave a pretty optimistic outlook for the housing market. Yun said he expects to see home prices rise cumulatively 15 percent over the next three years, home sales increase over 20 percent during the same period and new home sales to increase over 90 percent from 2011 to the beginning of 2014. Yun did add a caveat to his optimism saying these things assumed there would be no further limitations on the availability of mortgage credit or a “fiscal cliff”. At this point I don’t know that I would be betting against a fiscal cliff, so I guess we will just have to wait and see. Continue Reading →
As the St Louis real estate market continues to show signs of improvement in many areas, as I often talk about, real estate is very local, so markets within a metro area can behave quite different. Aware of this, many home buyers, particularly home buyers relocating to St Louis, often want to know what are the “hot” markets, or the markets that have definitely begin to come back? Seller’s want to what the hot markets are as well with the hope they will see their city or zip on the list. Continue Reading →
Corelogic released a report today showing that U.S. home prices in September were 5 percent higher than a year ago and that St. Louis home prices were up 0.3 percent during the same period. Corelogic’s data is based upon their home price index and sold prices so I decided to take a look at some real-time data for the market based upon asking prices and found that, as the chart below shows, St Louis home prices increased 2.3 percent from September 2011 to September 2012. Continue Reading →
For anyone that has been through the short sale process, or knows someone that has, they will attest to the fact that short sales are not “short” but, instead, are typically long, drawn out processes with many layers of approvals and much red tape. Good news! Beginning today, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac took steps to shorten the short sale process as well as reduce the amount of red tape, by no longer requiring approved private mortgage insurance companies to come to them (Fannie and Freddie) for approvals on short sales or deeds in lieu of foreclosure. This is a significant change from the current policy and should definitely make the short sale process less drawn out going forward. Continue Reading →
The A.P.R. is a tool for comparing different loans, which will include different interest rates but also different points and other terms. The A.P.R. is designed to represent the “true cost of a loan” to the borrower, expressed in the form of a yearly rate. This way, lenders can’t “hide” fees and upfront costs behind low advertised rates. Continue Reading →
Over 10,000 St. Louis homeowners (10,101) lost their homes in foreclosure for the 12 month period ending September 2012, according to a report released by Corelogic. We should see fewer Saint Louis homeowners lose their homes to foreclosure in the coming year though as the St. Louis foreclosure inventory (those homes in some stage of the foreclosure process) is declining with 1.5 percent of all St Louis homes with a mortgage being in the foreclosure process in September, down 0.3 percent from the rate a year ago. Continue Reading →
The St. Louis foreclosure rate fell to 1.55 percent in August, 2012, the lowest rate since August, 2010 when the rate was 1.54 percent, according to a report released by CoreLogic. Other encouraging news in the report was that the mortgage delinquency rate fell in August to 4.52 percent, the lowest it has been in well over two years! Continue Reading →
The St. Louis area has seen a fairly dramatic change in the make-up of the housing occupants with a shift from home-owners to renters over the past six years. After the crash of the real estate market we have experienced, as well as massive unemployment and a weak economy, this is not surprising, but is something that I think needs to be recognized. The five-county St Louis core market (St Louis County, St. Louis City, St Charles County, Jefferson County and Franklin County) as a whole saw owner-occupied units drop almost 3.5 percent during the period while, at the same time, renter-occupied units increased almost 15 percent. Continue Reading →
Today, RealtyTrac released “Election 2012 Housing Health Check” in which it looked at how the real estate market, as a whole, has done during the Obama administration, and then broke it down to the county level for over 900 U.S. counties. While the housing market has not been the topic of much discussion by President Obama nor Presidential hopeful Romney in the debates, they have both had their say. Obama recently drew attention to the fact that foreclosure activity dropped to a five-year low and has also recently said “housing has begun to rise”, ostensibly taking some credit for both and, last month, Romney released a white paper with his plan to “end the housing crisis” which he say, in part, is “Obama’s failure”.(click here for a copy of the Romney White Paper as well as the complete RealtyTrac Report) Continue Reading →
The National Association of REALTORS® (NAR) announced this morning that U.S. existing home sales, and prices, slipped slightly in September, falling 1.7 percent from the month before however were up 11 and 11.3 percent, respectively, from the year before. The St. Louis Real Estate market, as the charts below show, we see slightly different data, at least for the 5-county core St Louis Real Estate area I’m showing (the City of St Louis and the Counties of St Louis, St Charles, Jefferson and Franklin). In this core area, which makes up the bulk of the Saint Louis real estate market, home prices fell 7.6 percent in September, from the month before, to a median price of $121,884 and home sales slid over 20 percent to 2,428 homes sold in September, down from 3,045 in August. Continue Reading →
According to a report released this week by Interest.com, St. Louis is the 5th most affordable metro area in the U.S. with a median-income household having 23 percent more income than needed to buy a median priced home. Continue Reading →
St. Louis home prices are on the rise as all signs continue to point toward a recovery for the St. Louis real estate market! The table below shows the change in the median list prices from a year ago for the 25 St. Louis area zip codes with the highest increases. Now, before people that live in some of the top zip codes on the list get too excited, remember, this does not mean that the actual value of a home rose by the percentage indicated, it just means the median list price has which could be the result of higher priced homes hitting the market. Having said that, the trend of list prices, along with other related data on the St Louis real estate market I’m seeing, is still a positive sign and a strong indicator of better times ahead for the St Louis real estate market. Continue Reading →
According to the “Residential Price IndexTM” from FNC, home prices in the 100 largest metro areas in the U.S. reached a 20 month high in August 2012. Even better, St. Louis ranked number 7 on the list for home price increases in the past year and number 8 for the increase in home prices in the past month. In terms of year to date increase in home prices, St. Louis home prices have increased 4.4 percent, according to the report, which makes St. Louis 19th in the nation in terms of YTD home price increases. Continue Reading →
There were 1,560 foreclosure filings on St. Louis properties in September, which is a decrease of 22.62 percent in the St. Louis foreclosure rate from August, and a decrease of 11.86 percent from September 2011 when there were 1,770 foreclosure filings on St Louis homes, according to a report released this morning by RealtyTrac. Continue Reading →
REALTORS® surveyed by the National Association of REALTORS® (NAR), say that low valuations on appraisals are causing their seller’s problems ranging from delaying the sale to renegotiating the price to even killing the deal. Of the REALTORS® that responded, 11 percent say a low valuation on an appraisal cost their seller a sale in the past 3 months, 9 percent said it caused a delay to a sale and 15 percent said a low appraisal resulted in the seller having to renegotiate and agree to a lower price.
Shadow inventory, one of the “culprits” that eats away at the housing market and puts downward pressure on home prices, fell to 2.3 million homes in July 2012, down 10.2 percent from July 2011. This works out to a six month supply of shadow inventor and is roughly the same as things stood back in March 2009. Shadow inventory consists of properties with seriously delinquent mortgages (90+ days delinquent), in the foreclosure process or owned by a lender but not listed for sale in the MLS. In other words, shadow inventory is a glimpse of things to come in terms of distressed sales therefore when we see declines in the numbers like this, it is encouraging and yet another sign that a recovery of the housing market may be on the way. Continue Reading →
The St. Louis Real Estate Market is showing signs of strengthening and even recovery in many of the neighborhoods throughout St. Louis. To get the latest St. Louis Real Estate Stats and the latest, best and most comprehensive St Louis Real Estate Data, check out our 5-minute video update below for October for the St Louis real estate market. The update includes charts with up to the date data on the St Louis housing market including St Louis home prices, average time to sell a home in the St Louis area as well as other data and charts to show Continue Reading →
The inforgraphics below from BankForeclosuresSale.com do a great job of illustrating the boom and bust of the housing market as well as show the relationship, and impact, of home prices, inflation and income on the housing market. The good news is, it appears the worst is over and, according to Simon Campbell, a Senior Business Analyst with BankForeclosuresSale.com, “all signs point to increasing demand for housing.” (Can I have an Amen please?).
Strategic defaults are something I’ve written about several times over the past few years and is something that there are very strong feelings within the industry at opposite ends of the spectrum on in terms of whether they are OK to do or not. A strategic default is essentially when someone that has the ability to pay their mortgage but, usually because they are “underwater” (meaning they owe more than the property is worth), choose to “walk away” and allow the home to go into foreclosure. Almost one-third (32 percent) of Americans think there is nothing wrong with doing a strategic default, according to survey results just released by ID Analytics. Continue Reading →
If you’ve been waiting to buy a new home thinking that prices will continue to fall as builders get more desperate to sell homes, I think you may have missed the boat, er, house. The bruised new home market continues to show signs that the worst is over including numbers just released showing new home sales in the U.S. in August were up almost 28 percent from a year ago and new home prices were up 17 percent during the same period in the U.S. Here in St. Louis, the St. Louis HBA just reported that building permits for new homes in St. Louis are 15% through August compared with this time last year. Continue Reading →
Beyond Housing is hosting a housing resource fair tonight at the University of Missouri-St. Louis campus and there will be over 25 local lenders and agencies there to help potential home buyers be aware of programs and resources that are available to help them become homeowners. Included in the program will be information on the Neighborhood Stabilization Program (NSP) through St. Louis County, a program that Dave Schott has used to help many people become homeowners and had an opportunity to share information about on Fox 2 news this morning. Check out the video below for more information or contact Dave using the contact form. Continue Reading →
In spite of warning from the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), the St. Louis Association of REALTORS (SLAR) and other housing-related groups of the damage the “Mortgage Foreclosure Intervention Code” (Bill #174 introduced by Hazel Erby, District 1) could do to the already struggling St Louis housing market, including increasing the cost of home mortgages, last month the St. Louis County Council passed the bill, it was signed into law by County Executive Charlie Dooley and will go into effect on September 28, 2012. Then, just last week, Lewis Reed, President of the St. Louis Board of Alderman, introduced what is a basically the same bill in an attempt to get the same law enacted by the City of St. Louis. Continue Reading →
There is some life coming back to the new home industry as we are seeing increases in new home construction activity. On the national level, the U.S. Census Bureau reported today that building permits for new homes were up over 19 percent in August from a year ago, new home starts were up over 26 percent from a year ago and new home completions up a little over 2 percent from a year ago. Here in the Midwest region, as the chart below which depicts new home starts in the Midwest from January 2006 through July 2012 shows, it definitely appears new home construction has hit bottom, has leveled off and is now trending upward slowly. It’s going to be a long, slow recovery for the new home industry, but at least, for now, it appears things are headed the right direction. Continue Reading →
St. Louis home sales (the 5 county core market*) in August increased 2.4 percent from the month before and were up over 13 percent from a year ago, following the trend in U.S. home sales as reported today in the existing home sales report from the National Association of REALTORS®. According to the report, U.S. home sales in August increased 7.8 percent from July and were up 9.3 percent from the year before. St. Louis home prices rose 2.7 percent in August from the month before and were up 6.8 percent from the year before falling a little short of U.S. home prices which increased 9.5 percent in August from the year before but still showing positive signs of recovery for the St. Louis housing market. Continue Reading →
Maybe you’re a seller that has found yourself faced with the reality that you can’t sell your house or condo for a price today that will yield enough to pay off your loan, and you are not a candidate for, or don’t want to do, a short-sale? Or, maybe you are a seller with a house or condo that, for one reason or another, there is very limited demand for and, in fact, it seems that perhaps no one wants to buy what you have to sell? If so, maybe someone suggested, or you have considered, using a lease/option or a lease purchase to sell your home? After-all, there is a large demand for lease-options and lease-purchases by buyers but, you are just not sure if it is right for you? Continue Reading →
Should I rent or buy a home in St Louis? This is a question that I’ve been asked dozens of times over the past couple of years and one that given the fact that home affordability is at an all time high and mortgage interest rates at an all time low, is generally easy to answer with “buy if you can”. I guess I many not have realized just HOW much sense that made financially, until a report came out a few days ago that looked to answer this very question and found that home ownership was 45 percent cheaper Continue Reading →
There were 2,016 foreclosure filings on St. Louis properties in August, which is an increase of 8.39 percent in the St. Louis foreclosure rate from the month before and an increase of 10.22 percent from August 2011 when there were 1,829 foreclosure filings on St Louis homes, according to a report released this morning by RealtyTrac. Continue Reading →
As of the end of the second quarter of this year, there are 90,937 underwater St Louis homeowners, a slight increase from the prior quarter when there were 90,196 underwater St Louis homeowners and a decrease of almost 9 percent (8.8 percent) from the 2nd quarter of 2011 when St Louis underwater homeowners numbered almost 100,000 (99,792). One is said to be “underwater” on their mortgage when they owe more on their mortgage than their home is currently worth, which is also referred to as having “negative equity”. Continue Reading →
St. Louis Home Prices are showing signs of stabilizing and the inventory of homes for sale in St. Louis has declined to the lowest period we’ve seen in a while, both of which are signs of good things to come for the St Louis real estate market. Find out more, and get the latest St Louis real estate stats and market data in my video update below for September on the St Louis real estate market. Continue Reading →