Real Estate Becoming a Seller’s Market In Many Areas

The real estate market is definitely heating up in many cities throughout the U.S. as well in many areas of St. Louis. A decreasing inventory of homes for sale, and even a shortage of homes for sale in many areas, along with increased confidence from consumers in the real estate market, has driven many cities from a “buyers market” to a “sellers market”. Continue Reading →

Mortgage relief received in 2012 may not be taxable

Missourians have received more than $112 million of mortgage relief as a result of the National Mortgage Settlement reached a year ago with the nations largest lenders, according to Missouri Attorney General Chris Koster. Koster, along with Attorney Generals from other states, sent a letter to Congress last November urging them to extend a measure that was due to expire at the end of 2012 that would provide tax relief for some people receiving mortgage relief in the form of principal reduction and short sales. January 1, 2013, Congress passed the extension as part of the American Taxpayer Relief Act of 2012. Continue Reading →

New home sales increased almost 20 percent in 2012 and prices increased almost 14 percent

New home sales activity slowed at the end of 2012 with new homes selling in December at a seasonally adjusted rate of 369,000, a decline of 7.3 percent from the month before but an increase of 8.8 percent from December 2011, according to the December 2012 new home sales report from the Commerce Department. This means 2012 ended with an increase of almost 20 percent in new home sales from 2011 when there were just 306,000 new homes sold. Also on a positive note, the median price of new homes increased from $218,600 in December 2011 to $248,900 in December 2012 while, during the same period, the inventory of new homes for sale in the U.S. declined from a 5.4 month supply to 4.9 months. Continue Reading →

Cancellation of Debt; St Louis Mortgage Interest Rate Update

As part of the fiscal cliff deal, Congress extended the cancellation of mortgage debt relief provision for 1 year, through the end of 2013. It seems there is little focus on the importance of this law, it is crucial to foreclosure mitigation efforts such as principal forgiveness and short sales. Continue Reading →

St Louis Real Estate Market Update Video for January 2013

The St. Louis Real Estate Market is still dealing with the effects of foreclosures and other distressed sales but continues to show some improvement, and even what I would describe as a sustained recovery in some neighborhoods though certainly not all. To get the latest St. Louis Real Estate Stats and the latest, best and most comprehensive St Louis Real Estate Data, check out our 5-minute video update below for January for the St Louis real estate market. The update includes charts with up to the date data on the St Louis housing market including St Louis home prices, average time to sell a home in the St Louis area as well as other data and charts to show where the St Louis real estate market is and where it is headed. (Check out all our market update videos on our YouTube Channel – click here. Continue Reading →

Are St Louis Home Prices Really Increasing Or Are There Just Fewer Distressed Sales?

A report released today by Radarlogic suggests that the housing market is not really recovering as much as it may appear, particularly with regard to home prices. The report says that, the 9.2 percent increase they saw in their home price index for the 12 month period ended November 30, 2012 was the result of a “significant shift in the composition of home sales and overstates the appreciation in individual properties.” The report goes on to say if motivated sales (REO’s, foreclosures, short-sales) are removed from the data, then the “real” increase in home prices was just over half of what their index showed. Continue Reading →

St Louis Inventory of Homes For Sales Increases 3 Percent While Price Per Foot Stays Flat

On a national real estate site I write for I did an article earlier today about a report that came out indicating the inventory of homes for sale in 35 major metro markets had dropped by 27 percent in the past year while the price per foot of those homes increased about 10 percent. This prompted me to take a look at the St. Louis market to see how it did in comparison and, as the chart below shows, St. Louis has seen a different result with the inventory of homes for sale increasing somewhat in the past year while home prices (on a per square foot basis) remained relatively flat. In January 2012, there were 13,304 homes for sale in the St Louis metro area and today there are 13,758, an increase of 3.4 percent. St Louis metro area home prices per foot are at $95.97 today and were at $95.86 a year ago. Continue Reading →

Optimism in the Mortgage Markets for 2013; St Louis Mortgage Interest Rate Update

Fannie Mae has declared that housing is finally providing a tailwind to economic growth. The company’s December Economic and Strategic Report says that the market “has turned the corner and a sustained recovery is under way.” Looking into 2013, economists predict mortgage originations will increase by 15% while refinance volume is expected to fall 26%. Continue Reading →

Pending Home Sales Increase in November to Highest Level in Over Two Years

The National Association of REALTORS’ (NAR) Pending Home Sales report for November, 2012 shows home sales increased 1.7 percent in November from the month before and increased 9.8 percent from a year ago. Pending home sales have now increased on a year over year basis for 19 consecutive months, according to NAR.

What are going to be the hot St Louis real estate markets in 2013?

I don’t know that “hot” comes to mind when I think about any St Louis real estate market today, however, relative to the rest of the market, I think I can identify some St. Louis real estate markets that I feel are poised to perform better in 2013 than other St Louis markets. Below are my charts showing some key market data for the top markets. Included in my data are 4 pieces of information that I think are key to determining the health of a local real estate market:

Home prices – I show what prices have done over Continue Reading →

New home sales pace in Midwest declines in November

New home sales in November in the Midwest region were at a seasonally adjusted rate of 49,000 homes, a decrease of 12.5 percent from the month before and a decrease of 5.8 percent from a year ago, according to the new home sales for November 2012 just released by the Commerce Department. The new home sales numbers for the Midwest are in pretty sharp contrast to the national numbers which showed new home sales up 4.4 percent in November from the month before and up 15.3 percent from a year ago Continue Reading →

Is it premature to say the housing market is in recovery?

Lately we have seen several reports on the housing market that show the housing market is improving and may even be headed toward a recovery however some experts, including Cliff Rossi, Tyser Teaching Fellow and executive-in-residence for the University of Maryland’s Robert H. Smith School of Business, say it may be premature to call this a “real recovery.” Rossi is not entirely negative on the housing market and does admit that home prices are stabilizing and inventories are declining, however he has concerns as a result of the “fiscal cliff”, regulatory reform and tightness of credit, to name a few. Continue Reading →

St. Louis home sales in November up almost 20 percent from a year ago

The National Association of REALTORS® (NAR) announced this morning that U.S. existing home sales increased in November 5.9 percent from the month before and 14.5 percent from the year before. The NAR report indicated the median home price in the U.S. in November was $180,600, an increase of 10.1 percent from a year ago. The St. Louis Real Estate market (the 5-county core St Louis Real Estate area (City of St Louis and the Counties of St Louis, St Charles, Jefferson and Franklin), as my chart below shows, saw home prices rise slightly in November from October to a median price of $122,000 which is an increase of 7.5 percent from a year ago. St Louis home sales in November on the other hand declined slightly from the month before to 2,523 homes but was up 19.6 percent from a year ago Continue Reading →

St Louis Makes List of Improving Housing Markets

The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) released their “Improving Housing Markets Index” for December and I was happy to see St. Louis as a new addition to the list this month! St. Louis was one of 83 new metro areas added to the improving housing markets list from the prior month bringing the total to 201 metro areas as of this month (7 metros were dropped from the month before.) Continue Reading →

St Louis Foreclosure Sales Rise Almost 50 Percent During Third Quarter

There were 1,891 foreclosure sales in St. Louis during the third quarter of 2012, according to a report from RealtyTrac. This is a 46 percent increase from 2nd quarter and a 16 percent increase from the third quarter of 2011. A little under one in five St Louis homes (17.21 percent) that sold during the third quarter of 2012 were foreclosures. The average price St Louis foreclosures sold during third quarter was $102,041 and represented a discount of 37.07 percent from non-foreclosure home sales, according to the report. Continue Reading →

Home Builders Say New Home Market Improving; Missouri Home Price/Income Ratio Back to Normal

Today, during a presentation addressing the impact of President Obama’s re-election on the housing market by leaders of the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB), David Crowe, PhD., Chief Economist of NAHB, said there is a “fragile” recovery occurring in the housing market and that it could be “affected both directions by the recent election results”. Crowe went on to say that (with regard to the new home market) there has been “no consistent national trend for some time” as the recovery has been from “relatively small and disparate” locations for about a year now and the reason the national numbers are now reflecting this activity is due to the number of these improving small markets increasing significantly. Continue Reading →

Home Sales In U.S. Hit Five Year High In October

The housing market showed more signs of strength in October with pending home sales hitting a five-year high, according to the National Association of REALTORS’ (NAR) Pending Home Sales. According to the report for October, 2012, pending home sales increased 5.2 percent from the month before and increased 13.2 percent from a year ago. Pending home sales have now increased on a year over year basis for 18 consecutive months, according to NAR. Continue Reading →

Mortgage Delinquencies and Foreclosures Decline in U.S.; St Louis may be lagging behind

In October 7.03 percent of homeowners with a mortgage were delinquent on their loan payments, this is a decline of almost 5 percent from the month before and 7.19 percent less than the year before, according to Lenders Processing Services’ First Watch report. Foreclosure pre-sales (borrowers somewhere in the foreclosure process but have not yet lost their homes) declined 6.77 percent from the month before and was down 15.99 percent from a year ago. LPS does not break out data specific to St. Louis but recent data from RealtyTrac showed that St Louis foreclosure activity increased over 10 percent in October from the month before and was up over 7 percent from a year ago, so St Louis may be lagging behind the national trend in terms of improvement in foreclosure rates. Continue Reading →

St Louis home prices up 4.4 percent in past year; St Louis home sales up almost 19 percent during same period

The St. Louis Real Estate market (the 5-county core St Louis Real Estate area I’m showing which includes the City of St Louis and the Counties of St Louis, St Charles, Jefferson and Franklin) saw home prices fall slightly (1.1 percent) in October from September to a median price of $120,000 which is an increase of 4.4 percent from a year ago. St Louis home sales, on the other hand, rose in October 6.6 percent from the month before to 2,607 homes, an increase of 18.9 percent from a year ago. If you would like to receive a free copy of the NAR home sales report please click here for immediate access. Continue Reading →

Housing Market Recovery Expected To Continue with Increasing Home Prices As Long As….

Lawrence Yun, chief economist of the National Association of Realtors (NAR), while speaking at the NAR convention in Orlando gave a pretty optimistic outlook for the housing market. Yun said he expects to see home prices rise cumulatively 15 percent over the next three years, home sales increase over 20 percent during the same period and new home sales to increase over 90 percent from 2011 to the beginning of 2014. Yun did add a caveat to his optimism saying these things assumed there would be no further limitations on the availability of mortgage credit or a “fiscal cliff”. At this point I don’t know that I would be betting against a fiscal cliff, so I guess we will just have to wait and see. Continue Reading →

Time to complete a short sale became shorter today

For anyone that has been through the short sale process, or knows someone that has, they will attest to the fact that short sales are not “short” but, instead, are typically long, drawn out processes with many layers of approvals and much red tape. Good news! Beginning today, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac took steps to shorten the short sale process as well as reduce the amount of red tape, by no longer requiring approved private mortgage insurance companies to come to them (Fannie and Freddie) for approvals on short sales or deeds in lieu of foreclosure. This is a significant change from the current policy and should definitely make the short sale process less drawn out going forward. Continue Reading →

Sixty-five percent of counties in U.S. housing markets are worse today than four years ago; St Louis no exception

Today, RealtyTrac released “Election 2012 Housing Health Check” in which it looked at how the real estate market, as a whole, has done during the Obama administration, and then broke it down to the county level for over 900 U.S. counties. While the housing market has not been the topic of much discussion by President Obama nor Presidential hopeful Romney in the debates, they have both had their say. Obama recently drew attention to the fact that foreclosure activity dropped to a five-year low and has also recently said “housing has begun to rise”, ostensibly taking some credit for both and, last month, Romney released a white paper with his plan to “end the housing crisis” which he say, in part, is “Obama’s failure”.(click here for a copy of the Romney White Paper as well as the complete RealtyTrac Report) Continue Reading →

St Louis home prices and sales decline in September; Prices up 4.6 percent in past year

The National Association of REALTORS® (NAR) announced this morning that U.S. existing home sales, and prices, slipped slightly in September, falling 1.7 percent from the month before however were up 11 and 11.3 percent, respectively, from the year before. The St. Louis Real Estate market, as the charts below show, we see slightly different data, at least for the 5-county core St Louis Real Estate area I’m showing (the City of St Louis and the Counties of St Louis, St Charles, Jefferson and Franklin). In this core area, which makes up the bulk of the Saint Louis real estate market, home prices fell 7.6 percent in September, from the month before, to a median price of $121,884 and home sales slid over 20 percent to 2,428 homes sold in September, down from 3,045 in August. Continue Reading →

Low appraisals killing home sales or causing sellers to agree to lower price

REALTORS® surveyed by the National Association of REALTORS® (NAR), say that low valuations on appraisals are causing their seller’s problems ranging from delaying the sale to renegotiating the price to even killing the deal. Of the REALTORS® that responded, 11 percent say a low valuation on an appraisal cost their seller a sale in the past 3 months, 9 percent said it caused a delay to a sale and 15 percent said a low appraisal resulted in the seller having to renegotiate and agree to a lower price.

Continue Reading →

Declining shadow inventory paves way for housing market recovery

Shadow inventory, one of the “culprits” that eats away at the housing market and puts downward pressure on home prices, fell to 2.3 million homes in July 2012, down 10.2 percent from July 2011. This works out to a six month supply of shadow inventor and is roughly the same as things stood back in March 2009. Shadow inventory consists of properties with seriously delinquent mortgages (90+ days delinquent), in the foreclosure process or owned by a lender but not listed for sale in the MLS. In other words, shadow inventory is a glimpse of things to come in terms of distressed sales therefore when we see declines in the numbers like this, it is encouraging and yet another sign that a recovery of the housing market may be on the way. Continue Reading →

St Louis new home construction and sales showing signs of life

If you’ve been waiting to buy a new home thinking that prices will continue to fall as builders get more desperate to sell homes, I think you may have missed the boat, er, house. The bruised new home market continues to show signs that the worst is over including numbers just released showing new home sales in the U.S. in August were up almost 28 percent from a year ago and new home prices were up 17 percent during the same period in the U.S. Here in St. Louis, the St. Louis HBA just reported that building permits for new homes in St. Louis are 15% through August compared with this time last year. Continue Reading →

Missouri Attorney General Files Lawsuits Against Three Mortgage-Modification Companies For Misleading Consumers

Yesterday, Missouri Attorney General Chris Koster filed three separate lawsuits against individuals and their companies for misleading Missouri consumers in connection with mortgage-modification services. The lawsuits were filed against Colleen Kelly, a Missouri resident operating Heartland Loss Mitigation, LLC,; Eric Mader, a Florida attorney operating Mader Law Group, LLC, a Florida company; and Jim Caplan, a Florida attorney operating CAPLAW, P.A., a Florida company. Continue Reading →

Low Interest Rates and Tougher Underwriting Standards; St. Louis Mortgage Interest Rate Update

I continue to hear in the news about incredible low interest rates, but the catch is getting approved for a mortgage loan, either for a purchase or refinance. The process is getting harder and harder. In this tighter credit environment, FHA remains to be a great alternative for buyers with limited resources for a down payment and closing costs or past credit problems. Underwriting guidelines are more lenient than conventional guidelines. Continue Reading →

St Louis home sales and prices showing signs of recovery

St. Louis home sales (the 5 county core market*) in August increased 2.4 percent from the month before and were up over 13 percent from a year ago, following the trend in U.S. home sales as reported today in the existing home sales report from the National Association of REALTORS®. According to the report, U.S. home sales in August increased 7.8 percent from July and were up 9.3 percent from the year before. St. Louis home prices rose 2.7 percent in August from the month before and were up 6.8 percent from the year before falling a little short of U.S. home prices which increased 9.5 percent in August from the year before but still showing positive signs of recovery for the St. Louis housing market. Continue Reading →

St. Louis homes taking less time to sell; inventory low in many areas

This week the National Association of REALTORS (NAR) published a report which showed selling a home was taking less time with the median time a home for sale dropping in July to 69 days, down over 29 percent from a year ago when the median time on the market was 98 days. St. Louis homes are taking less time to sell as well and, as you can see from the tables below I prepared, many St Louis areas have a lower median time on the market for homes for sale than the national median. The inventory of St. Louis homes for sale is dropping as well…does this impact price? Read on.. Continue Reading →