Lately we have seen several reports on the housing market that show the housing market is improving and may even be headed toward a recovery however some experts, including Cliff Rossi, Tyser Teaching Fellow and executive-in-residence for the University of Maryland’s Robert H. Smith School of Business, say it may be premature to call this a “real recovery.” Rossi is not entirely negative on the housing market and does admit that home prices are stabilizing and inventories are declining, however he has concerns as a result of the “fiscal cliff”, regulatory reform and tightness of credit, to name a few. Continue Reading →
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The National Association of REALTORS® (NAR) announced this morning that U.S. existing home sales increased in November 5.9 percent from the month before and 14.5 percent from the year before. The NAR report indicated the median home price in the U.S. in November was $180,600, an increase of 10.1 percent from a year ago. The St. Louis Real Estate market (the 5-county core St Louis Real Estate area (City of St Louis and the Counties of St Louis, St Charles, Jefferson and Franklin), as my chart below shows, saw home prices rise slightly in November from October to a median price of $122,000 which is an increase of 7.5 percent from a year ago. St Louis home sales in November on the other hand declined slightly from the month before to 2,523 homes but was up 19.6 percent from a year ago Continue Reading → This morning, the Commerce Department released its new home construction report showing that, on a national basis, all aspects of new home construction, permits, starts and completions, slipped slightly in November 2012 from the month before but were up from a year ago. The Home Builders Association’s new home report shows somewhat better results in St. Louis with permits in St. Louis county up almost 25 percent in November from a year before, nearly a 47 percent increase in St. Charles County, a 1.4 percent increase in Jefferson County and modest decreases in Franklin and Warren County. The city of St. Louis has been hit the hardest with over a 50 percent decline in new home construction from a year ago. Continue Reading → In a vote of confidence for an improving real estate market, seventy-one percent of homebuyers surveyed by Redfin said they are expecting house prices to increase during the coming year in their neighborhood. Additionally, the survey showed that over half (59 percent) of homebuyers are concerned about the lack of inventory of homes for sale. Here in St. Louis, as the table below shows, we have over 25 zip codes that have a 3 month, or less, supply of homes for sale which is making it more of a challenge for home buyers to find a home they like and supports rising home prices so, if you are one of those home buyers waiting for the “right time to buy”, I wouldn’t wait any longer if I were you. Continue Reading → There were 1,880 St Louis homeowners that received a foreclosure notice, or were in some stage of the foreclosure process, in November, according to a report from RealtyTrac. This is a 9.37 percent increase from October and is a an increase of over ten (10.52) percent from October 2011. Continue Reading → I continue to see encouraging news about the housing market and today was no exception. The Freddie Mac housing market outlook for December was released and included a very encouraging outlook for the real estate market in 2013 by its chief economist, Frank Nothaft. Not that I’m on the same level as Northaft, but I will be coming out later this month with a short market recap video for 2012 as well as an outlook for 2013, both specifically for the St Louis real estate market. In the meantime, below are the highlights from Mr Nothaft’s projections for the U.S. Continue Reading → The St. Louis Real Estate Market continues to show some strength and appears to generally be headed toward recovery, albeit a long slow one. To get the latest St. Louis Real Estate Stats and the latest, best and most comprehensive St Louis Real Estate Data, check out our 5-minute video update below for October for the St Louis real estate market. The update includes charts with up to the date data on the St Louis housing market including St Louis home prices, average time to sell a home in the St Louis area as well as other data and charts to show where the St Louis real estate market is and where it is headed. (Check out all our market update videos on our YouTube Channel – click here. Continue Reading → The city of St. Louis has experienced a decline in the number of residents since hitting it’s peak population back around 1950. The most recent disappointment came in the 2010 census results showing, in spite of optimism on the part of the city for better numbers, the population of the city of St Louis had declined by nearly another 1o percent during the decade, falling from 348,189 people in 2000 to 319,294 in 2010. During that same decade there were efforts to revitalize the city and bring new life to it as developers built new and fun living spaces by Continue Reading → The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) released their “Improving Housing Markets Index” for December and I was happy to see St. Louis as a new addition to the list this month! St. Louis was one of 83 new metro areas added to the improving housing markets list from the prior month bringing the total to 201 metro areas as of this month (7 metros were dropped from the month before.) Continue Reading → There were 1,891 foreclosure sales in St. Louis during the third quarter of 2012, according to a report from RealtyTrac. This is a 46 percent increase from 2nd quarter and a 16 percent increase from the third quarter of 2011. A little under one in five St Louis homes (17.21 percent) that sold during the third quarter of 2012 were foreclosures. The average price St Louis foreclosures sold during third quarter was $102,041 and represented a discount of 37.07 percent from non-foreclosure home sales, according to the report. Continue Reading → Today, during a presentation addressing the impact of President Obama’s re-election on the housing market by leaders of the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB), David Crowe, PhD., Chief Economist of NAHB, said there is a “fragile” recovery occurring in the housing market and that it could be “affected both directions by the recent election results”. Crowe went on to say that (with regard to the new home market) there has been “no consistent national trend for some time” as the recovery has been from “relatively small and disparate” locations for about a year now and the reason the national numbers are now reflecting this activity is due to the number of these improving small markets increasing significantly. Continue Reading → “The American Dream” is a phrase we often apply to home ownership although the historian that made this expression popular, James Truslow Adams, defined it differently in his 1931 book Epic of America. According to Wikipedia, in his book Adams defined “The American Dream” as a better and richer life for every man through social order and not material possessions. Regardless of it’s original definition, home ownership became a part of the American dream in the 20th century and, in spite of the fact that we are on the tail-end of about a five year housing slump, the “American Dream” appears to be hanging on as, according to 2011 Census Data, 66.1 percent of Americans own a home and, while this is no doubt a fairly significant decline from the peak of home ownership around the middle part of the decade, it is down only slightly from 2000 when 66.2 percent owned a home. Continue Reading → The housing market showed more signs of strength in October with pending home sales hitting a five-year high, according to the National Association of REALTORS’ (NAR) Pending Home Sales. According to the report for October, 2012, pending home sales increased 5.2 percent from the month before and increased 13.2 percent from a year ago. Pending home sales have now increased on a year over year basis for 18 consecutive months, according to NAR. Continue Reading → While it does appear the St Louis real estate market has hit bottom and begun to slowly make some headway to a recovery it is clearly not going to be without some bumps in the road along the way. One of those bumps appears to be home prices as, according to a report just released by Fiserv indicates, St Louis home prices are projected to fall 2.7 percent by next summer. Continue Reading → In October 7.03 percent of homeowners with a mortgage were delinquent on their loan payments, this is a decline of almost 5 percent from the month before and 7.19 percent less than the year before, according to Lenders Processing Services’ First Watch report. Foreclosure pre-sales (borrowers somewhere in the foreclosure process but have not yet lost their homes) declined 6.77 percent from the month before and was down 15.99 percent from a year ago. LPS does not break out data specific to St. Louis but recent data from RealtyTrac showed that St Louis foreclosure activity increased over 10 percent in October from the month before and was up over 7 percent from a year ago, so St Louis may be lagging behind the national trend in terms of improvement in foreclosure rates. Continue Reading → I’m sure I’m not the only person in St. Louis that has thought about what it would be like to move to New York, Los Angeles or even Paris or Madrid. If you are another dreamer like me, you will enjoy the widget below that will let you see what your money will buy you in terms of housing (gas, a movie, McDonalds combo meal and a few other things as well) in 30+ international destinations. Continue Reading → This morning, the Commerce Department released its new home construction report showing that, on a national basis, all aspects of new home construction, permits, starts and completions, are up double digits in October 2012 from the year before. The Home Builders Association’s new home report shows similar results in St. Louis as well with permits in St. Louis county up almost 24 percent in October from a year before, a 44 percent increase in St. Charles County and modest decreases in Jefferson County and Franklin County. Continue Reading → The St. Louis Real Estate market (the 5-county core St Louis Real Estate area I’m showing which includes the City of St Louis and the Counties of St Louis, St Charles, Jefferson and Franklin) saw home prices fall slightly (1.1 percent) in October from September to a median price of $120,000 which is an increase of 4.4 percent from a year ago. St Louis home sales, on the other hand, rose in October 6.6 percent from the month before to 2,607 homes, an increase of 18.9 percent from a year ago. If you would like to receive a free copy of the NAR home sales report please click here for immediate access. Continue Reading → Annually, the National Association of REALTORS (NAR) conducts a survey of people that bought and/or sold a home in the past year to learn about their shopping habits, what motivated them to do what they did, etc. The NAR “Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers” for 2012 was just released and shows, among other things, that 90 percent of home buyers used the internet in finding the home they bought and, of those, about half used a local MLS site and/or agent/company site Continue Reading → During the third quarter of 2012, 3.71 percent of St Louis homeowners with a mortgage were 60+ days delinquent on their mortgage, a slight decline from the prior quarter when the rate was 3.88 percent and a decline of over 10 percent from a year ago when the St Louis mortgage delinquency rate was 4.13 percent, according to TransUnion. This marks the third consecutive quarter the St Louis mortgage delinquency rate has declined. Continue Reading → Charlie Cook, of the Cook Report, a well-known and respected political commentator, cautioned REALTORS at their annual national convention to be prepared for changes to the mortgage interest deduction. According to an article in REALTOR magazine, Cook said he did not expect the mortgage interest deduction (MID) to specifically come under attack but that, as Congress looks at cuts to address the deficit, the MID “unlikely to escape unscathed. Cook went on to say that he felt the change would most likely be in the form of a cap, whether it be a dollar amount or a percent allowed for itemized deductions, but one way or another, it was going to change Continue Reading → Lawrence Yun, chief economist of the National Association of Realtors (NAR), while speaking at the NAR convention in Orlando gave a pretty optimistic outlook for the housing market. Yun said he expects to see home prices rise cumulatively 15 percent over the next three years, home sales increase over 20 percent during the same period and new home sales to increase over 90 percent from 2011 to the beginning of 2014. Yun did add a caveat to his optimism saying these things assumed there would be no further limitations on the availability of mortgage credit or a “fiscal cliff”. At this point I don’t know that I would be betting against a fiscal cliff, so I guess we will just have to wait and see. Continue Reading → As the St Louis real estate market continues to show signs of improvement in many areas, as I often talk about, real estate is very local, so markets within a metro area can behave quite different. Aware of this, many home buyers, particularly home buyers relocating to St Louis, often want to know what are the “hot” markets, or the markets that have definitely begin to come back? Seller’s want to what the hot markets are as well with the hope they will see their city or zip on the list. Continue Reading → Corelogic released a report today showing that U.S. home prices in September were 5 percent higher than a year ago and that St. Louis home prices were up 0.3 percent during the same period. Corelogic’s data is based upon their home price index and sold prices so I decided to take a look at some real-time data for the market based upon asking prices and found that, as the chart below shows, St Louis home prices increased 2.3 percent from September 2011 to September 2012. Continue Reading → For anyone that has been through the short sale process, or knows someone that has, they will attest to the fact that short sales are not “short” but, instead, are typically long, drawn out processes with many layers of approvals and much red tape. Good news! Beginning today, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac took steps to shorten the short sale process as well as reduce the amount of red tape, by no longer requiring approved private mortgage insurance companies to come to them (Fannie and Freddie) for approvals on short sales or deeds in lieu of foreclosure. This is a significant change from the current policy and should definitely make the short sale process less drawn out going forward. Continue Reading → The A.P.R. is a tool for comparing different loans, which will include different interest rates but also different points and other terms. The A.P.R. is designed to represent the “true cost of a loan” to the borrower, expressed in the form of a yearly rate. This way, lenders can’t “hide” fees and upfront costs behind low advertised rates. Continue Reading → Over 10,000 St. Louis homeowners (10,101) lost their homes in foreclosure for the 12 month period ending September 2012, according to a report released by Corelogic. We should see fewer Saint Louis homeowners lose their homes to foreclosure in the coming year though as the St. Louis foreclosure inventory (those homes in some stage of the foreclosure process) is declining with 1.5 percent of all St Louis homes with a mortgage being in the foreclosure process in September, down 0.3 percent from the rate a year ago. Continue Reading → The St. Louis foreclosure rate fell to 1.55 percent in August, 2012, the lowest rate since August, 2010 when the rate was 1.54 percent, according to a report released by CoreLogic. Other encouraging news in the report was that the mortgage delinquency rate fell in August to 4.52 percent, the lowest it has been in well over two years! Continue Reading → The St. Louis area has seen a fairly dramatic change in the make-up of the housing occupants with a shift from home-owners to renters over the past six years. After the crash of the real estate market we have experienced, as well as massive unemployment and a weak economy, this is not surprising, but is something that I think needs to be recognized. The five-county St Louis core market (St Louis County, St. Louis City, St Charles County, Jefferson County and Franklin County) as a whole saw owner-occupied units drop almost 3.5 percent during the period while, at the same time, renter-occupied units increased almost 15 percent. Continue Reading → Today, RealtyTrac released “Election 2012 Housing Health Check” in which it looked at how the real estate market, as a whole, has done during the Obama administration, and then broke it down to the county level for over 900 U.S. counties. While the housing market has not been the topic of much discussion by President Obama nor Presidential hopeful Romney in the debates, they have both had their say. Obama recently drew attention to the fact that foreclosure activity dropped to a five-year low and has also recently said “housing has begun to rise”, ostensibly taking some credit for both and, last month, Romney released a white paper with his plan to “end the housing crisis” which he say, in part, is “Obama’s failure”.(click here for a copy of the Romney White Paper as well as the complete RealtyTrac Report) Continue Reading → |
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