Home Prices and Sales - St Louis Real Estate News

What are going to be the hot St Louis real estate markets in 2013?

By Dennis Norman, on December 28th, 2012

I don’t know that “hot” comes to mind when I think about any St Louis real estate market today, however, relative to the rest of the market, I think I can identify some St. Louis real estate markets that I feel are poised to perform better in 2013 than other St Louis markets. Below are my charts showing some key market data for the top markets. Included in my data are 4 pieces of information that I think are key to determining the health of a local real estate market:

Home prices – I show what prices have done over Continue Reading →

New home sales pace in Midwest declines in November

By Dennis Norman, on December 27th, 2012

New home sales in November in the Midwest region were at a seasonally adjusted rate of 49,000 homes, a decrease of 12.5 percent from the month before and a decrease of 5.8 percent from a year ago, according to the new home sales for November 2012 just released by the Commerce Department. The new home sales numbers for the Midwest are in pretty sharp contrast to the national numbers which showed new home sales up 4.4 percent in November from the month before and up 15.3 percent from a year ago Continue Reading →

Forecasters say home price increases to be at "pre-bubble" levels next year; no impact by change in MID

By Dennis Norman, on December 27th, 2012

A panel of 105 professional economic forecasters from all around the country expect home prices to increase 3.1 percent in 2013, according to the December 2012 Zillow Home Price Expectations Survey. Forecasters are more optimistic about home prices than they were just three months earlier when they predicted 2013 home prices would only increase by 2.4 percent. Continue Reading →

Is it premature to say the housing market is in recovery?

By Dennis Norman, on December 21st, 2012

Lately we have seen several reports on the housing market that show the housing market is improving and may even be headed toward a recovery however some experts, including Cliff Rossi, Tyser Teaching Fellow and executive-in-residence for the University of Maryland’s Robert H. Smith School of Business, say it may be premature to call this a “real recovery.” Rossi is not entirely negative on the housing market and does admit that home prices are stabilizing and inventories are declining, however he has concerns as a result of the “fiscal cliff”, regulatory reform and tightness of credit, to name a few. Continue Reading →

St. Louis home sales in November up almost 20 percent from a year ago

By Dennis Norman, on December 20th, 2012

The National Association of REALTORS® (NAR) announced this morning that U.S. existing home sales increased in November 5.9 percent from the month before and 14.5 percent from the year before. The NAR report indicated the median home price in the U.S. in November was $180,600, an increase of 10.1 percent from a year ago. The St. Louis Real Estate market (the 5-county core St Louis Real Estate area (City of St Louis and the Counties of St Louis, St Charles, Jefferson and Franklin), as my chart below shows, saw home prices rise slightly in November from October to a median price of $122,000 which is an increase of 7.5 percent from a year ago. St Louis home sales in November on the other hand declined slightly from the month before to 2,523 homes but was up 19.6 percent from a year ago Continue Reading →

Homebuyers expect prices to rise and are concerned about lack of homes for sale

By Dennis Norman, on December 18th, 2012

In a vote of confidence for an improving real estate market, seventy-one percent of homebuyers surveyed by Redfin said they are expecting house prices to increase during the coming year in their neighborhood. Additionally, the survey showed that over half (59 percent) of homebuyers are concerned about the lack of inventory of homes for sale. Here in St. Louis, as the table below shows, we have over 25 zip codes that have a 3 month, or less, supply of homes for sale which is making it more of a challenge for home buyers to find a home they like and supports rising home prices so, if you are one of those home buyers waiting for the “right time to buy”, I wouldn’t wait any longer if I were you. Continue Reading →

2013 looks to be a good year for real estate

By Dennis Norman, on December 11th, 2012

I continue to see encouraging news about the housing market and today was no exception. The Freddie Mac housing market outlook for December was released and included a very encouraging outlook for the real estate market in 2013 by its chief economist, Frank Nothaft. Not that I’m on the same level as Northaft, but I will be coming out later this month with a short market recap video for 2012 as well as an outlook for 2013, both specifically for the St Louis real estate market. In the meantime, below are the highlights from Mr Nothaft’s projections for the U.S. Continue Reading →

St Louis Real Estate Market Update Video for December 2012

By Dennis Norman, on December 11th, 2012

The St. Louis Real Estate Market continues to show some strength and appears to generally be headed toward recovery, albeit a long slow one. To get the latest St. Louis Real Estate Stats and the latest, best and most comprehensive St Louis Real Estate Data, check out our 5-minute video update below for October for the St Louis real estate market. The update includes charts with up to the date data on the St Louis housing market including St Louis home prices, average time to sell a home in the St Louis area as well as other data and charts to show where the St Louis real estate market is and where it is headed. (Check out all our market update videos on our YouTube Channel – click here. Continue Reading →

St Louis Makes List of Improving Housing Markets

By Dennis Norman, on December 7th, 2012

The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) released their “Improving Housing Markets Index” for December and I was happy to see St. Louis as a new addition to the list this month! St. Louis was one of 83 new metro areas added to the improving housing markets list from the prior month bringing the total to 201 metro areas as of this month (7 metros were dropped from the month before.) Continue Reading →

St Louis Foreclosure Sales Rise Almost 50 Percent During Third Quarter

By Dennis Norman, on December 6th, 2012

There were 1,891 foreclosure sales in St. Louis during the third quarter of 2012, according to a report from RealtyTrac. This is a 46 percent increase from 2nd quarter and a 16 percent increase from the third quarter of 2011. A little under one in five St Louis homes (17.21 percent) that sold during the third quarter of 2012 were foreclosures. The average price St Louis foreclosures sold during third quarter was $102,041 and represented a discount of 37.07 percent from non-foreclosure home sales, according to the report. Continue Reading →

Home prices on the rise; St Louis Mortgage Interest Rate Update

By Robert Fishel, on December 6th, 2012

According to Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist for the National Association of Realtors, home prices nationally are up 11.1% in October compared to this point last year. The number of homes available for sale nationally fell reducing the available supply to a level below that of one year ago. The result is tighter supply of homes helping boost the national median existing-home price level to $178,600 in October; price increases have helped home owners regain equity lost during the housing crisis.

Continue Reading →

Home Builders Say New Home Market Improving; Missouri Home Price/Income Ratio Back to Normal

By Dennis Norman, on December 4th, 2012

Today, during a presentation addressing the impact of President Obama’s re-election on the housing market by leaders of the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB), David Crowe, PhD., Chief Economist of NAHB, said there is a “fragile” recovery occurring in the housing market and that it could be “affected both directions by the recent election results”. Crowe went on to say that (with regard to the new home market) there has been “no consistent national trend for some time” as the recovery has been from “relatively small and disparate” locations for about a year now and the reason the national numbers are now reflecting this activity is due to the number of these improving small markets increasing significantly. Continue Reading →

Home Sales In U.S. Hit Five Year High In October

By Dennis Norman, on November 30th, 2012

The housing market showed more signs of strength in October with pending home sales hitting a five-year high, according to the National Association of REALTORS’ (NAR) Pending Home Sales. According to the report for October, 2012, pending home sales increased 5.2 percent from the month before and increased 13.2 percent from a year ago. Pending home sales have now increased on a year over year basis for 18 consecutive months, according to NAR. Continue Reading →

St Louis Home Prices Forecasted To Fall By Summer

By Dennis Norman, on November 29th, 2012

While it does appear the St Louis real estate market has hit bottom and begun to slowly make some headway to a recovery it is clearly not going to be without some bumps in the road along the way. One of those bumps appears to be home prices as, according to a report just released by Fiserv indicates, St Louis home prices are projected to fall 2.7 percent by next summer. Continue Reading →

Mortgage Delinquencies and Foreclosures Decline in U.S.; St Louis may be lagging behind

By Dennis Norman, on November 27th, 2012

In October 7.03 percent of homeowners with a mortgage were delinquent on their loan payments, this is a decline of almost 5 percent from the month before and 7.19 percent less than the year before, according to Lenders Processing Services’ First Watch report. Foreclosure pre-sales (borrowers somewhere in the foreclosure process but have not yet lost their homes) declined 6.77 percent from the month before and was down 15.99 percent from a year ago. LPS does not break out data specific to St. Louis but recent data from RealtyTrac showed that St Louis foreclosure activity increased over 10 percent in October from the month before and was up over 7 percent from a year ago, so St Louis may be lagging behind the national trend in terms of improvement in foreclosure rates. Continue Reading →

Want to know how your St Louis home stacks up to other cities around the world?

By Dennis Norman, on November 21st, 2012

I’m sure I’m not the only person in St. Louis that has thought about what it would be like to move to New York, Los Angeles or even Paris or Madrid. If you are another dreamer like me, you will enjoy the widget below that will let you see what your money will buy you in terms of housing (gas, a movie, McDonalds combo meal and a few other things as well) in 30+ international destinations. Continue Reading →

St Louis home prices up 4.4 percent in past year; St Louis home sales up almost 19 percent during same period

By Dennis Norman, on November 19th, 2012

The St. Louis Real Estate market (the 5-county core St Louis Real Estate area I’m showing which includes the City of St Louis and the Counties of St Louis, St Charles, Jefferson and Franklin) saw home prices fall slightly (1.1 percent) in October from September to a median price of $120,000 which is an increase of 4.4 percent from a year ago. St Louis home sales, on the other hand, rose in October 6.6 percent from the month before to 2,607 homes, an increase of 18.9 percent from a year ago. If you would like to receive a free copy of the NAR home sales report please click here for immediate access. Continue Reading →

Housing Market Recovery Expected To Continue with Increasing Home Prices As Long As….

By Dennis Norman, on November 9th, 2012

Lawrence Yun, chief economist of the National Association of Realtors (NAR), while speaking at the NAR convention in Orlando gave a pretty optimistic outlook for the housing market. Yun said he expects to see home prices rise cumulatively 15 percent over the next three years, home sales increase over 20 percent during the same period and new home sales to increase over 90 percent from 2011 to the beginning of 2014. Yun did add a caveat to his optimism saying these things assumed there would be no further limitations on the availability of mortgage credit or a “fiscal cliff”. At this point I don’t know that I would be betting against a fiscal cliff, so I guess we will just have to wait and see. Continue Reading →

St. Louis Home Prices Rose 2.3 Percent in Past Year

By Dennis Norman, on November 6th, 2012

Corelogic released a report today showing that U.S. home prices in September were 5 percent higher than a year ago and that St. Louis home prices were up 0.3 percent during the same period. Corelogic’s data is based upon their home price index and sold prices so I decided to take a look at some real-time data for the market based upon asking prices and found that, as the chart below shows, St Louis home prices increased 2.3 percent from September 2011 to September 2012. Continue Reading →

Time to complete a short sale became shorter today

By Dennis Norman, on November 1st, 2012

For anyone that has been through the short sale process, or knows someone that has, they will attest to the fact that short sales are not “short” but, instead, are typically long, drawn out processes with many layers of approvals and much red tape. Good news! Beginning today, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac took steps to shorten the short sale process as well as reduce the amount of red tape, by no longer requiring approved private mortgage insurance companies to come to them (Fannie and Freddie) for approvals on short sales or deeds in lieu of foreclosure. This is a significant change from the current policy and should definitely make the short sale process less drawn out going forward. Continue Reading →

Sixty-five percent of counties in U.S. housing markets are worse today than four years ago; St Louis no exception

By Dennis Norman, on October 22nd, 2012

Today, RealtyTrac released “Election 2012 Housing Health Check” in which it looked at how the real estate market, as a whole, has done during the Obama administration, and then broke it down to the county level for over 900 U.S. counties. While the housing market has not been the topic of much discussion by President Obama nor Presidential hopeful Romney in the debates, they have both had their say. Obama recently drew attention to the fact that foreclosure activity dropped to a five-year low and has also recently said “housing has begun to rise”, ostensibly taking some credit for both and, last month, Romney released a white paper with his plan to “end the housing crisis” which he say, in part, is “Obama’s failure”.(click here for a copy of the Romney White Paper as well as the complete RealtyTrac Report) Continue Reading →

Give your mortgage an annual once over; St Louis Mortgage Interest Rate Update

By Robert Fishel, on October 19th, 2012

If the last time you looked at your mortgage was when you closed on your loan, it’s time to take it out for an annual once over. New loan programs and opportunities to leverage your home equity can bring you lower mortgage payments and new investment opportunities. Continue Reading →

St Louis home prices and sales decline in September; Prices up 4.6 percent in past year

By Dennis Norman, on October 19th, 2012

The National Association of REALTORS® (NAR) announced this morning that U.S. existing home sales, and prices, slipped slightly in September, falling 1.7 percent from the month before however were up 11 and 11.3 percent, respectively, from the year before. The St. Louis Real Estate market, as the charts below show, we see slightly different data, at least for the 5-county core St Louis Real Estate area I’m showing (the City of St Louis and the Counties of St Louis, St Charles, Jefferson and Franklin). In this core area, which makes up the bulk of the Saint Louis real estate market, home prices fell 7.6 percent in September, from the month before, to a median price of $121,884 and home sales slid over 20 percent to 2,428 homes sold in September, down from 3,045 in August. Continue Reading →

St. Louis is the 5th most affordable metro area to buy a home

By Dennis Norman, on October 19th, 2012

According to a report released this week by Interest.com, St. Louis is the 5th most affordable metro area in the U.S. with a median-income household having 23 percent more income than needed to buy a median priced home. Continue Reading →

List prices on St Louis homes on the rise

By Dennis Norman, on October 17th, 2012

St. Louis home prices are on the rise as all signs continue to point toward a recovery for the St. Louis real estate market! The table below shows the change in the median list prices from a year ago for the 25 St. Louis area zip codes with the highest increases. Now, before people that live in some of the top zip codes on the list get too excited, remember, this does not mean that the actual value of a home rose by the percentage indicated, it just means the median list price has which could be the result of higher priced homes hitting the market. Having said that, the trend of list prices, along with other related data on the St Louis real estate market I’m seeing, is still a positive sign and a strong indicator of better times ahead for the St Louis real estate market. Continue Reading →

St. Louis home prices rebounding; 7th best in U.S.

By Dennis Norman, on October 16th, 2012

According to the “Residential Price IndexTM” from FNC, home prices in the 100 largest metro areas in the U.S. reached a 20 month high in August 2012. Even better, St. Louis ranked number 7 on the list for home price increases in the past year and number 8 for the increase in home prices in the past month. In terms of year to date increase in home prices, St. Louis home prices have increased 4.4 percent, according to the report, which makes St. Louis 19th in the nation in terms of YTD home price increases. Continue Reading →

Low appraisals killing home sales or causing sellers to agree to lower price

By Dennis Norman, on October 10th, 2012

REALTORS® surveyed by the National Association of REALTORS® (NAR), say that low valuations on appraisals are causing their seller’s problems ranging from delaying the sale to renegotiating the price to even killing the deal. Of the REALTORS® that responded, 11 percent say a low valuation on an appraisal cost their seller a sale in the past 3 months, 9 percent said it caused a delay to a sale and 15 percent said a low appraisal resulted in the seller having to renegotiate and agree to a lower price.

Continue Reading →

Declining shadow inventory paves way for housing market recovery

By Dennis Norman, on October 9th, 2012

Shadow inventory, one of the “culprits” that eats away at the housing market and puts downward pressure on home prices, fell to 2.3 million homes in July 2012, down 10.2 percent from July 2011. This works out to a six month supply of shadow inventor and is roughly the same as things stood back in March 2009. Shadow inventory consists of properties with seriously delinquent mortgages (90+ days delinquent), in the foreclosure process or owned by a lender but not listed for sale in the MLS. In other words, shadow inventory is a glimpse of things to come in terms of distressed sales therefore when we see declines in the numbers like this, it is encouraging and yet another sign that a recovery of the housing market may be on the way. Continue Reading →

St Louis Real Estate Market Update Video for October 2012

By Dennis Norman, on October 8th, 2012

The St. Louis Real Estate Market is showing signs of strengthening and even recovery in many of the neighborhoods throughout St. Louis. To get the latest St. Louis Real Estate Stats and the latest, best and most comprehensive St Louis Real Estate Data, check out our 5-minute video update below for October for the St Louis real estate market. The update includes charts with up to the date data on the St Louis housing market including St Louis home prices, average time to sell a home in the St Louis area as well as other data and charts to show Continue Reading →

All signs point to increasing demand for housing

By Dennis Norman, on October 8th, 2012

The inforgraphics below from BankForeclosuresSale.com do a great job of illustrating the boom and bust of the housing market as well as show the relationship, and impact, of home prices, inflation and income on the housing market. The good news is, it appears the worst is over and, according to Simon Campbell, a Senior Business Analyst with BankForeclosuresSale.com, “all signs point to increasing demand for housing.” (Can I have an Amen please?).