By Dennis Norman, on September 30th, 2011
Mark Fleming, Ph.D., Chief Economist for CoreLogic, in a presentation yesterday, said the housing market is not out of the woods yet as the potential of a double-dip in our economy increases and as 30 to 40 percent of economists feel there is a chance of another recession. The economy’s “stall speed” was another issue Fleming said was a concern, describing it as similar to the stall speed of an airplane; that speed at which is still fast enough for the plane to be flying, but just on the edge of stalling and no longer able to maintain flight. Fleming said, for the economy, a 1 percent growth rate is historically the “stall” point and that is right about where we are presently. Continue reading “Housing market not out of the woods yet“
By Dennis Norman, on September 13th, 2011
A report released today by CoreLogic shows that 17.30 percent (99,792) of all St. Louis homeowners with a mortgage were in a negative equity position in the second quarter of 2011, up slightly from 17.10 percent the prior quarter. Negative equity is also referred to as being “underwater” or “upside down” and refers to homeowners that owe more on their mortgages than the current value of their home. Continue reading “St. Louis homeowners with negative equity increases slightly in 2nd quarter“
By Dennis Norman, on July 22nd, 2011
Radarlogic, real estate data and analytics company that frequently disagrees with the National Association of REALTORS® view of the housing market, released their RPX Monthly Housing Market Report for May 2011 yesterday and in it had a scorecard showing how their rather bleak predictions they made at the end of 2010 for the 2011 housing market were holding up. Unfortunately, as you will see below, it seems many of their predictions have been accurate and the housing market is performing as poorly as they expected in many areas. Continue reading “2011 Real Estate Market Performing about as Poorly as Predicted Thus Far“
By Dennis Norman, on June 29th, 2011
In Britain…
I am not a “misery loves company” guy, nor a “grass on the other side is always greener” guy, but in this case, it’s good to know the grass is greener in the U.S., at least as it relates to the housing market. Granted, I may be getting a little desperate for some good news, but a study I saw on the housing market in Britain by Zoopla.co.uk got my attention when I saw that 80 percent of the 4.32 million homes bought in Britain since 2006 are now worth less than the buyer paid. My first thought was, “wow, our market may be bad, but at least not that bad”, my next thought was, “am I sure about that?”. Continue reading “80 Percent of homes bought in last five years are worth less now…“
By Dennis Norman, on June 22nd, 2011
A report released this morning by CoreLogic shows that the current residential “shadow” inventory as of April 2011 declined to 1.7 million units, down from 1.9 million units a year ago. This current shadow inventory represents a 5 month supply, same as the supply a year ago. Continue reading “Report shows shadow inventory continues to decline“
By Dennis Norman, on June 7th, 2011
A report released today by CoreLogic shows that 17.10 percent (97,772) of all St. Louis homeowners with a mortgage were in a negative equity position in the first quarter of 2011, up slightly from 17.0 percent the prior quarter. Negative equity is also referred to as being “underwater” or “upside down” and refers to homeowners that owe more on their mortgages than the current value of their home. Continue reading “St Louis Homeowners with Negative Equity Increases Slightly in First Quarter of 2011“
By Dennis Norman, on May 18th, 2011
Negative equity is the dominant factor driving the real estate market according to CoreLogic in it’s “U.S. Housing and Market Trends” report that was released today. According to the report, as of the 4th quarter of 2010, over 11 million (23 percent) of U.S. homeowners with a mortgage were in a negative equity position, meaning they owe more on their mortgages than the current value of their home. Continue reading “Report Shows Little Improvement in Underwater Homeowners“
By Dennis Norman, on April 17th, 2011
Over the past year or so there have been dozens, if not hundreds, of stories questioning the manner in which lenders were handling the servicing of their loans, particularly those of underwater borrowers, as well as the foreclosure practices of many including “robo-signing” of foreclosure affidavits. Next came the lawsuits and now, this week, the Federal Reserve Board announced formal enforcement actions requiring 10 banking organizations to address “a pattern of misconduct and negligence related to deficient practices in residential mortgage loan servicing and foreclosure processing.” Continue reading “Feds Take Action Against Banks for Misconduct and Negligence Related to Mortgage Loan Servicing and Foreclosure Practices“
By Dennis Norman, on April 5th, 2011
Most Americans are opposed to the idea according to recent survey
There have been several stories published on this site concerning borrowers that are “underwater” (owe more on their home than it is currently worth) and whether they should simply “walk-away” or do a “strategic default” in order to get out from under their problem. We have published views from both sides of this argument and both sides have made good points in support of their position. However, according to a survey conducted by FindLaw.com, it is clear that the majority of Americans, 60 percent to be exact, believe it is “never OK” for homeowners to walk away. Continue reading “Should homeowners walk away from underwater mortgages?“
By Dennis Norman, on March 23rd, 2011
Today, the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development and U.S. Census Bureau released new home sales data for February 2011 showing a decrease of 16.9 percent from the month before, and a decrease of 28.0 percent from a year ago.
The seasonally-adjusted new home sales rate for February was 250,000 homes. The supply of new homes on the market increased from an adjusted 7.4 month supply the month before to a 8.9 month supply in February. The median new home price decreased for the month to $202,100, a 13.9 percent decrease from a revised median price of $234,800 the month before and a decrease of 8.9 percent from a year ago. Continue reading “New home sales plummet in February, prices fall as well“
By Dennis Norman, on March 8th, 2011
A report released this morning by CoreLogic shows negative equity, after decreasing for the three prior quarters, increased in the fourth quarter of 2010 for residential properties. The CoreLogic reports that 11.1 million, or 23.1 percent, of all residential properties with mortgages were in negative equity at the end of the fourth quarter of 2010, up from 10.8 million and 22.5 percent in the prior quarter. Continue reading “Number of Homeowners Underwater on Mortgage Increases“
By Dennis Norman, on February 24th, 2011
Today, the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development and U.S. Census Bureau released new home sales data for January 2011 showing a decrease of 12.6 percent from the month before, and a decrease of 18.6 percent from a year ago.
The seasonally-adjusted new home sales rate for January was 284,000 homes. The supply of new homes on the market increased from an adjusted 7.0 month supply in December to a 7.9 month supply in January. The median new home price decreased for the month to $230,600 a 1.8 percent decrease from a revised median price of $235,000 the month before and an increase of 5.7 percent from a year ago. Continue reading “New home sales fall in January…down over 18 percent from a year ago“
By Dennis Norman, on January 26th, 2011
Today, the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development and U.S. Census Bureau released new home sales data for December 2010 showing an increase of 17.5 percent from the month before, but a decrease of 7.6 percent from a year ago.
The seasonally-adjusted new home sales rate for December was 329,000 homes, a 17.5 percent increase from November’s revised rate of 280,000 homes. The supply of new homes on the market decreased from an adjusted 8.4 month supply in November to a 6.9 month supply in December. The median new home price increased for the month to $241,500 whopping 12.0 percent increase from $215,500 the month before and an increase of 8.5 percent from a year ago. Continue reading “New home sales close out 2010 on the rise; predicting increased sales in 2011“
By Dennis Norman, on January 7th, 2011
The real estate market has not been very nice to us over the past 3 years or so and we are all anxious to see the light at the end of the tunnel. With that in mind, and 2011 in front of us, where is the real estate market headed in 2011? Before I take my humble stab at answering this question I need to remind you I am not an economist nor do I have a PhD behind my name, in fact I have nothing behind my name. All I can offer is a whole lot of experience “in the trenches“….as a broker, investor, developer…. Continue reading “Where is the real estate market headed in 2011?“
By Dennis Norman, on December 31st, 2010
As 2010 quickly comes to an end I sat here early this morning pondering the real estate market and reading reports on the housing industry. One thing that caught my attention was an article titled “The Mortgage Interest Deduction and Negative Equity” by Ted Gayer, the co-director of economic studies at the Brookings Institute (and occasional contributor to this blog). Ted’s article made some interesting points related to the mortgage interest deduction, negative equity and home-ownership rates in the U.S.
In his article Ted states “It seems semantically incorrect to call someone who owes more on an asset than it’s worth an “owner.”” This is a point that others have made as well and I think makes a good point. With this in mind, and in the mood to do some research and create some charts, I decided to dig into the topic deeper. Continue reading “Has The Rate of Home Ownership Dropped to an All-Time Low?“
By Dennis Norman, on December 13th, 2010
A report released this morning by CoreLogic shows negative equity declined in third quarter of 2010 for residential properties, marking the third-consecutive quarterly decline. The CoreLogic reports that 10.8 million, or 22.5 percent, of all residential properties with mortgages were in negative equity at the end of the third quarter of 2010, down from 11.0 million and 23 percent in the second quarter. While the decline is good news, the bad news is that the report states the decline is “due primarily to foreclosures of severely negative equity properties rather than an increase in home values.” Continue reading “Homeowner Negative Equity Declines for Third Straight Quarter“
By Dennis Norman, on December 9th, 2010
Report by Zillow estimates that U.S. Homes have now lost $9 Tillion in value since Market Peak
U.S. homes are expected to lose more than $1.7 trillion in value during 2010, which is 63 percent more than the $1 trillion lost in 2009, according to a report released by Zillow.com. That brings the total value lost since the market peaked in June 2006 to $9 trillion.
Continue reading “Zillow Report: U.S. Homes Set to Lose $1.7 Trillion in Value During 2010“
By News Desk, on November 10th, 2010
Percentage of Homeowners Underwater Reaches New Peak; Length and Depth of Housing Downturn Approach Depression-Era Declines According to Zillow® Real Estate Market Reports for 3rd Quarter 2010…
The United States housing market continued its long decline in the third quarter with home values falling for the 17th consecutive quarter, according to Zillow Real Estate Market Reports. With home values 25 percent below their June 2006 peak, the current housing downturn is approaching Great Depression-era declines, when home values fell 25.9 percent in five years. Continue reading “Current Housing Market Rivals Depression-Era Price Declines according to Zillow Report“
By Dennis Norman, on October 25th, 2010
Dennis Norman
The U.S. Department of the Treasury and the Department of Housing and Urban Development today released their “October 2010 Scorecard” on the “Obama Administration’s Efforts to Stabilize the Housing Market”.
The scorecard points out the success of “The President’s housing market recovery efforts” but does point out that “data in the scorecard also show that the recovery in the housing market continues to remain fragile.” Continue reading “Scorecard on Obama’s Housing Recovery Plans“
By Dennis Norman, on September 17th, 2010
Dennis Norman
A report by CoreLogic shows that in June 2010 almost one in five (19.3 percent) of the home sales in St. Louis are distressed home sales, such as foreclosure or a short sale. The report cautions that recent data showing improvements in negative equity, serious mortgage delinquency and a decrease in market share of short-sales, has been distorted as a result of the short-term boost in the “non-distressed” housing market by the homebuyer tax credit program, which recently ended. Continue reading “One in five St Louis home sales are distressed sales; more ‘distress coming’“
By Dennis Norman, on August 30th, 2010
Dennis Norman
While many us have been worrying about what is happening to the value of our homes, how to deal with being underwater on a mortgage or even facing the loss of a home, there are many people, families included, in the U.S. whose worry is much more basic….where to find safe shelter for the night. Continue reading “Homelessness in America“
By Dennis Norman, on August 26th, 2010
Dennis Norman
After a couple of days of writing about bad reports on the housing market (existing home sales and new home sales to name two) I’m excited that I actually get to write something today that is positive! According to newly released data from CoreLogic, the percentage of homeowners in the U.S. with negative equity in their homes declined slightly at the end of the second quarter of 2010 making it the second consecutive month of declines.
According to the CoreLogic report, 11 million, or 23 percent, of all residential properties with mortgages were in negative equity at the end of the second quarter of 2010, down from 11.2 million and 24 percent from the first quarter of 2010. Unfortunately as much I would like to say this was from home price appreciation, unfortunately it appears to have been driven primarily by foreclosures removing some of the homes with negative equity from the scene. Continue reading “Homeowners with negative equity declines for second consecutive quarter“
By Dennis Norman, on July 29th, 2010
Dennis Norman This week I attended an event at the St. Louis Association of REALTORS® in which Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist for the National Association of REALTORS® was the featured speaker and gave his take on the housing market as well as his housing market outlook. Continue reading “Housing Market Outlook and Forecast“
By Dennis Norman, on July 26th, 2010
Dennis Norman
Asking this question now is about like asking a newly divorced person their thoughts on marriage….nonetheless in challenging times many of us reflect upon our past investment decisions, investment philosophy, etc and see what can be learned from our past to help us in the future. Continue reading “Is a home a good investment?“
By Dennis Norman, on July 15th, 2010
Dennis Norman
According to a report released this morning by RealtyTrac there were 1,961,894 foreclosure filings in the first six months of 2010 on 1,654,634 housing units in the U.S. This reflects a 5 percent decrease from foreclosure activity for the prior 6 month period but is an 8 percent increase from the same period of 2009. What is just a sickening statistic in the report is that, during the first six months of 2010, 1.28 percent of all housing units in the U.S., or one in 78, received at least one foreclosure filing during that period.
For the month of June there were foreclosure filings reported on 313,841 U.S. properties, a decrease of nearly 3 percent from May and a decrease of nearly 7 percent from June 2009. However, June marked the sixteenth consecutive month with over 300,000 foreclosure filings during the month.
James J. Saccacio, chief executive officer of RealtyTrac, said “the midyear numbers put us on pace to exceed 3 million properties with foreclosure filings by the end of the year, and more than 1 million bank repossessions…….the roller coaster pattern of foreclosure activity over the past 12 months demonstrates that while the foreclosure problem is being managed on the surface, a massive number of distressed properties and underwater loans continues to sit just below the surface, threatening the fragile stability of the housing market.”
States with Highest Foreclosure Rates in first half of 2010-
- Nevada – One in ever 17 housing units
- Arizona – One in every 30 housing units
- Florida – One in every 32 housing units
- California – One in every 39 housing units
- Utah- One in every 52 housing units
- Georgia – One in every 56 housing units
- Michigan – One in every 58 housing units
- Idaho – One in every 60 housing units
- Illinois – One in every 62 housing units
- Colorado – One in every 71 housing units
So while it is good to see the month-over-month foreclosure rates decrease the rates continue to hover around record levels which is not good. Plus, as Mr. Saccacio addresses with his comment about the massive numbers of distressed properties and underwater loans “sitting just below the surface” and as I addressed last week in my post ‘Shadow’ Foreclosure Inventory is the 800 lb Gorilla, this problem is far from over unfortunately.
By Dennis Norman, on June 23rd, 2010
Dennis Norman
So, you have the money to pay on your ‘underwater’ mortgage, or to afford the reduced payment amount offered to you under the HAMP program, but think, rather than throw good money after bad you’ll just do like so many borrowers are doing and ‘walk-away‘? Well, if you have any plans to buy a house again in, say the next seven years, particularly with a Fannie Mae loan, think again.
Today Fannie Mae announced policy changes to “encourage borrowers to work with their servicers”. These policy changes include, a seven-year “lock-out” period for borrowers that default that had the capacity to pay, or did not complete a workout alternative offered to them in good faith. Those borrowers will be ineligible for a new Fannie Mae-backed mortgage loan for a period of seven years from the date of foreclosure. Borrowers that in fact do have extenuating circumstances may be eligible for a new home loan in a shorter period.
“We’re taking these steps to highlight the importance of working with your servicer,” said Terence Edwards, executive vice president for credit portfolio management. “Walking away from a mortgage is bad for borrowers and bad for communities and our approach is meant to deter the disturbing trend toward strategic defaulting. On the flip side, borrowers facing hardship who make a good faith effort to resolve their situation with their servicer will preserve the option to be considered for a future Fannie Mae loan in a shorter period of time.”
Thinking about a “Strategic Default”?
There has been a lot of talk lately about borrower’s that “strategically default”; for example, borrowers that have the ability to pay their mortgage payments but stop doing so in the hopes they can get out from under their home in an easier method than selling it in a down market, particularly if they are underwater on their mortgage.
Troubled borrowers who work with their servicers, and provide information to help the servicer assess their situation, can be considered for foreclosure alternatives, such as a loan modification, a short sale, or a deed-in-lieu of foreclosure. A borrower with extenuating circumstances who works out one of these options with their servicer could be eligible for a new mortgage loan in three years and in as little as two years depending on the circumstances. These policy changes were announced in April, in Fannie Mae’s Selling Guide Announcement SEL-2010-05.
By Dennis Norman, on June 1st, 2010
UPDATE- June 2, 2010: The National Association of REALTORS obtained answers from the Treasury Department on 3 common questions about HAFA:
- agents are not permitted to rebate a portion of their commission to the buyer,
- sellers who are real estate agents must list their home for sale with another broker, not their own broker, and
- the incentive allowed for subordinate lien holders (6% of any one subordinate lien, up to a total of $6,000 for all subordinate liens) is a hard cap and may not be supplemented from any source.
Dennis Norman In March I did an update on the Home Affordable Foreclosures Alternative (HAFA) Program which was scheduled to go into effect April 5, 2010. Today, Fannie Mae issued guidelines to their servicers outlining the policies and produres Fannie Mae had adopted as a result of HAFA.
What is HAFA? In a nutshell it gives qualifying homeowners the opportunity to do a short-sale or deed-in-lieu rather than face foreclosure:
The Home Affordable Foreclosure Alternatives Program provides financial incentives to loan servicers as well as borrowers who do a short-sale or a deed-in-lieu to avoid foreclosure on an eligible loan under HAMP. Both of these foreclosure alternatives help the lender out by avoiding the potentially lengthy and expensive foreclosure proceedings and also by protecting the property by minimizing the time it is vacant and subject to vandalism and deterioration. These options help out the borrower by avoiding the foreclosure process and the uncertainty that comes with it and allows the borrower to negotiate when they will give up possession of their home as well as, under the HAFA program be released from any further liability from the loan including short-fall and deficiencies.
Highlights of the guidelines given to mortgage servicers by Fannie-Mae:
- Servicers are “encouraged to adapt their processes to implement these Fannie Mae HAFA policies and procedures immediately;” however, they have until August 1, 2010 to implement them.
- The HAFA Short-Sale and HAFA DIL (deed-in-lieu) program will be offered to borrowers through December 31, 2012
Borrower Eligibility for HAFA Consideration:
- A borrower cannot be considered for HAFA until the borrower has been evaluated for a HAMP modification (including, but not limited to, providing all required income documentation).
- Once a borrower has met all of the eligibility criteria for HAMP, the borrower must be considered for a HAFA short sale or DIL (after all home retention options have been considered) if the borrower:
- was not offered a trial modification due to inability to meet the HAMP qualifications (for example, did not pass the net present value (NPV) evaluation or meet the target monthly mortgage payment ratio based on verified income);
- failed to complete the trial period successfully;
- became two consecutive payments (31 or more days) delinquent on the modified mortgage loan; or
- requests a short sale or DIL.
- Lender’s are not allowed to consider a borrower for a Fannie Mae HAFA short sale or DIL (without consent from Fannie Mae) if:
- a foreclosure sale is scheduled to be held within 60 days of the borrower’s request for a Fannie Mae HAFA short sale or DIL, ordetermination that a borrower is ineligible for HAMP, or;
- a foreclosure proceeding could be initiated and reasonably be expected to result in a foreclosure sale being held within 60 days of the borrower’s request for a Fannie Mae HAFA short sale or DIL or determination that a borrower is ineligible for HAMP; or;
- the mortgage loan is secured by a property in Florida on which foreclosure proceedings are pending, judgment has been obtained, or a hearing on summary judgment or trial is scheduled within 60 days.
Financial Requirements of Borrower for HAFA:
The lender, prior to deciding if the borrower is eligible for HAFA, must determine if the borrower has:
- the ability to continue making the mortgage payments but chooses not to do so; or
- substantial unencumbered assets or significant cash reserves equal to or exceeding three times the borrower’s total monthly mortgage payment (including tax and insurance payments) or $5,000, whichever is greater; or
- high surplus income.
So the bottom line here is, if you have a bunch of assets, money in the bank or high income relative to you debt, Fannie Mae is not going to be interested in letting you walk away from your deficiency after a short-sale, or DIL.
On question that has come up on other posts I’ve written about this, is the effect of bankruptcy on eligibility for HAFA….Here’s the answer from Fannie Mae:
- A borrower in an active Chapter 7 or Chapter 13 bankruptcy case must be considered for a Fannie Mae HAFA short sale or DIL if the borrower, borrower’s counsel, or bankruptcy trustee submits a request to the servicer. However, the servicer is not required to solicit borrowers in active bankruptcy cases for shorts sales or DILs. With the borrower’s permission, a bankruptcy trustee may contact the servicer to request a short sale or DIL. The servicer and its counsel must work with the borrower or borrower’s counsel to obtain any court and/or trustee approvals required in accordance with local court rules and procedures. The servicer must extend the required time frames outlined in this Announcement as necessary to accommodate delays in obtaining bankruptcy court approvals or receiving any periodic payment when made to a bankruptcy trustee.
Lenders must, upon determination of eligibility for a HAFA Short-Sale or DIL, determine the fair market value of the property:
- As soon as a borrower is determined to be eligible for a Fannie Mae HAFA short sale or DIL and has demonstrated a willingness to participate, the servicer must take the necessary steps to determine the market value of the mortgaged property. Fannie Mae will require a broker price opinion (BPO) based on an interior and exterior inspection of the property or, if licensing requirements in the state dictate use of an appraisal for these purposes, an appraisal
- The BPO (or appraisal, if required) must be dated within 90 calendar days of the date the relevant HAFA Agreement is executed by the servicer.
Allowable Fees on Short-Sale:
Fannie-Mae will allow:
- real estate sales commission customary for the market. The servicer may not require that the commission be reduced to less than 6 percent of the sales price of the property;
- real estate taxes and other assessments prorated to the date of closing;
- local and state transfer taxes and stamps;
- title and settlement charges typically paid by the seller;
- seller’s attorney fees for settlement services typically provided by a title or escrow company;wood-destroying pest inspections and treatment, when required by local law or custom;
- homeowners’ or condominium association fees that are past due, if applicable.
- Fees paid to a third party to negotiate a short sale with the servicer (commonly referred to as “short sale negotiation fees” or “short sale processing fees”) must NOT be deducted from the sales proceeds or charged to the borrower.
- Additionally, the Servicer, its agents, or any outsourcing firm it employs must not charge (either directly or indirectly) any outsourcing fee, short sale negotiation fee, or similar fee in connection with any Fannie Mae loan.
In addition, Fannie Mae will allow;
- The Lessor of 6% of the balance of a junior lien, or $6,000, to settle the second lien.
- $3,000 to the Seller, to be paid out of sale proceeds, to help defray the costs of relocation.
Short-Sale Approval Should be Faster:
One of the major hindrances to short-sales has been the amount of time it takes for a lender or servicer to respond to an offer to purchaser, many times taking several months. Under these new guidelines that should not be a problem because, provided the Seller’s Agent has submitted all the required document to Fannie Mae (they only have 3 business days to submit) then the servicer must respond to the offer within 10 business days indicating acceptance or rejection of the offer. This is huge and should really help facilitate short-sales.
Deed-in-Lieu Eligibility:
Generally, for a borrower to be eligible for a Fannie Mae HAFA DIL, the mortgaged property must have been listed for sale at market value for 120 days or more. A servicer may waive the requirement that the property securing the mortgage loan previously be listed for sale in cases involving:
- a serious illness or disability,
- a deceased borrower or co-borrower,
- a borrower or co-borrower who has been relocated or who has been deployed by the military,
- a determination that local market conditions would impede a sale of the property,
- a borrower who demonstrates an unwillingness or inability to maintain or market the property during the listing period, or
- a borrower who has expressed an interest in doing a Deed for Lease
This is simply an overview of the Fannie-Mae guidelines and the HAFA program…there is much more, but this gives you the idea. For starters, this is nothing that a homeowner would want to take on alone in my opinion. I think you need a qualified real estate broker or agent, that has in-depth knowledge about HAMP and HAFA and the short-sale process.
To get more information I suggest your read my post from March, you can access that by clicking here, or if you really want to have some fun, you can read the complete Fannie-Mae guidelines by clicking here.
By Dennis Norman, on May 11th, 2010
Dennis Norman
According to a report released by CoreLogic, there were 11.2 million homeowners that were in a negative equity, or “underwater“, position on their mortgages as of the end of the first quarter of this year. This number is equal to 24 percent of all homeowners with a mortgage in the U.S., which is the same percentage as the prior quarter, however the actual number of underwater borrowers was down slightly from 11.3 million borrowers that were underwater in the prior quarter. In addition, there are an additional 2.3 million borrowers that have less than five percent equity in their homes, bring the total of negative equity and near-negative borrowers to over 28 percent of all homeowners with a mortgage nationwide.
A serious decrease in the percentage of mortgages underwater would be better news, but this news is still positive as it shows the rate of borrowers going underwater has stalled out and hopefully we have seen the worst of it.
Highlights of the report:
- Negative equity continues to be concentrated in five states: Nevada, which had the highest percentage negative equity with 70 percent of all of its mortgaged properties underwater, followed by Arizona (51 percent), Florida (48 percent), Michigan (39 percent) and California (34 percent).
- In terms of metro areas Las Vegas continues to have the highest percentage of negative equity with 75% of mortgaged properties being underwater, followed by Stockton (65%), Modesto (62%), Vallejo-Fairfield (60%) and Phoenix (58%).
- Phoenix had more than 550,000 underwater borrowers, the most households of any metropolitan market in the country. Riverside (463,000), Los Angeles (406,000) Atlanta (399,000) and Chicago (365,000) round out the top five markets.
The share of borrowers whose mortgage debt exceeds the property value by 25% or more fell slightly to 10.4% or 4.9 million borrowers, down from 10.6% or 5 million borrowers.
The two most important triggers of default, negative equity and unemployment, have stabilized over the last six months. As house prices grow again and borrowers pay down their mortgage debt negative equity levels will begin to diminish. The typical underwater borrower is likely to regain their lost equity over the next five to seven years,” said Mark Fleming, chief economist with CoreLogic.
Source: CoreLogic
By Dennis Norman, on March 29th, 2010
Dennis Norman
Last week HUD announced changes to FHA home loan programs to provide refinancing options to homeowners who owe more than their home is worth. Under FHA’s new plan, existing underwater homeowners can refinance their existing non-FHA loan into a FHA loan as long as they are current on their loan and their current lender reduces their total mortgage debt by at least 10 percent of the loan amount.
The total mortgage amount for the borrower after refinancing cannot be greater than 115 percent of the current value of the home, bring the loan amount for an underwater borrower closer to the actual value of their home. I don’t believe this program is actually in effect yet, but it should be within the next few months.
Program highlights:
- Existing loan must not be FHA-insured
- Esiting lender must agree to writedown the principal loan balance a minimum of 10 percent and the final loan amount cannot exceed 115 percent of the current value of the home (including and second mortgages). The refinanced FHA loan cannot be greater than 97.75 percent of the value of the home.
- The refinanced FHA loan will be on standard FHA terms
- Existing lenders can retain second mortgages on the property, but only up to a combined 115 percent of the current value of the home.
Homeowner Eligibility:
- Homeowners must be current on thier mortgage payments
- Homeowner must occupy the home as their primary residence
- Homeowners must qualify for new FHA loan under standard FHA borrower guidelines
- Homeowners must have a FICO credit score of at least 500
I will write more about this program and give more details as they become available.
By Dennis Norman, on March 26th, 2010
Dennis Norman
Back in early December I did a post about a new program that was announced in November, the Home Affordable Foreclosures Alternative (HAFA) Program which is scheduled to go into effect April 5, 2010. There was recently supplemental documentation published as well as FAQ’s about the program and I have to admit, it seems to me the government is getting it right with this program.
THE HAFA PROGRAM:
The Home Affordable Foreclosure Alternatives Program provides financial incentives to loan servicers as well as borrowers who do a short-sale or a deed-in-lieu to avoid foreclosure on an eligible loan under HAMP. Both of these foreclosure alternatives help the lender out by avoiding the potentially lengthy and expensive foreclosure proceedings and also by protecting the property by minimizing the time it is vacant and subject to vandalism and deterioration. These options help out the borrower by avoiding the foreclosure process and the uncertainty that comes with it and allows the borrower to negotiate when they will give up possession of their home as well as, under the HAFA program be released from any further liability from the loan including short-fall and deficiencies.
How will the short sale process work under HAFA?
- You will need to enter into a short-sale/deed in lieu agreement iwth your lender.
- Before listing your home for sale your lender will approve a list price on your home or give you the amount of sale proceeds that are acceptable to them under a short sale. The lender will also let you know what costs may be deducted from the sale proceeds, such as commission and closing costs.
- After you list your home and receive an offer from a buyer, you will submit the offer, along with a “Request to Approve a Short Sale form, to your lender. In addition, you will need to submit proof that the buyer has funds to purchase your home, such as a letter that the buyer is approved for a mortgage. After you provide the necessary documentation to your lender, your lender has 10 business days to approve the sale.
- At the closing of the sale the lender is to release you from ALL responsiblities for repaying your mortgage. Plus, you will receive $3,000 from the proceeds to help pay some of your moving expenses.
Your responsibilities under the HAFA short sale.
- Keep your house and your property in good condition and repair and cooperate with your broker to show it to potential buyers.
- You may be required to continue to make full or partial mortgage payments (this will be determined by your lender)
- You must be able to provide the buyer of your home with clear title. To start, determine if you have other loans, judgments or liens secured by your home, such as a home-equity line of credit or a second mortgage. If there are such liens, you will need to either pay these loans off in full or negotiate with the lien holders to release them before the closing date. Under this program, you must make sure other lien holders will agree not to pursue other legal action related to the pay off of their lien, such as a deficiency judgment. You can get help from your broker to negotiate with the other lien holders.
- The program allows up to 6% of the unpaid principal balance of each loan (not to exceed an aggregate of $6,000 for all the loans in total) to be paid from the sale proceeds to help get a lien release.
- At several stages of the short sale process, such as after an offer is received, you will need to complete some paperwork. You are responsible for returning all documents within the time allowed in your short sale agreement with your lender.
Additional Info on Short-Sales.
- You cannot list the property with, or sell it to anyone that you are related to or have a close personal or business relationship with, it must be an “arms length transaction”.
- If you have a real estate license, you cannot earn a commission by listing your owner property. Nor can you have an agreement to receive a portion of the commission.
- The buyer of your home must agree not to sell the home within 90 calendar days of the date it is sold by you.
- You must not have any expectation that you will be able to buy or rent (it’s your lenders discretion on the rent) your house back after closing.
HAFA Short-Sale FAQ’s
- How much real estate commission can be paid out of the sale proceeds? Six Percent is the maximum commission and the seller, nor buyer, can receive any portion of the commission.
- Can a lender that has a second mortgage or other junior lien request additional payments from the seller or real estate agent in addition to what they are allowed to receive from sale proceeds? No.
- What if the property was a principal residence but is vacant at the time the lender evaluates the deal for a Short-Sale or Deed-In-Lieu? The property can be vacant for up to 90 days prior to the date of the Short Sale Agreement and still be eligible but only if the borrower can provide documentation showing that the borrower was required to relocate at least 100 miles from the mortgaged property to accept new employment or was transferred by the current employer, and there is no evidence indicating the purchaser has purchased a new home 90 days prior to the agreement.
Deed in lieu option.
If by the termination date of your short-sale agreement with your lender you have not been able to sell your home, but you have complied with all of your responsibilities under the agreement, then you will be given the opportunity to convey (transfer) ownership of your home to the lender. While this will not allow you to keep your home it will prevent you from going through a foreclosure and will release you from all responsibility to repay the mortgage debt. Additionally, you will still be eligible to receive $3,000 to help with your moving expenses.
Additionally, if you are unable to afford your first mortgage (and therefore not able to do a short sale) you will be considered for the deed-in-lieu option.
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